Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$589 Vol
2026年8月8日
Active
概率趋势
Drama eSports 100.0%
NEW VISION 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Drama eSports (+3.5) 以 5,000% 位居第二,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $589,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $589 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Drama eSports (+3.5) (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Drama eSports (+3.5) 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Drama eSports (+6.5) (5,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Drama eSports (+6.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$5899995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Drama eSports (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Drama eSports (+6.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Drama eSports and NEW VISION in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Drama eSports" if Drama eSports win the match against NEW VISION.

This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Drama eSports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 7, 2026

  • 06:10 PM
    GAgalagreek
    $75.03

    Bought 75.03 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 1

  • 05:58 PM
    ASashkabrista
    $7.56

    Bought 9 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.84

  • 05:58 PM
    GRgrandculp
    $19.08

    Bought 36 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.53

  • 05:58 PM
    DRdrhouz
    $29.07

    Bought 29.97 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.97

  • 05:58 PM
    KOkozelblack
    $69.33

    Bought 70.03 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.99

  • 05:49 PM
    ABabobus2000
    $65.58

    Bought 76.25 NEW VISION for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.86

  • 05:49 PM
    ABabobus2000
    $133.78

    Bought 159.26 NEW VISION for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.84

  • 05:41 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $28.91

    Bought 49 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.59

  • 05:39 PM
    SNSnowfish
    $3.05

    Bought 5 NEW VISION for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.61

  • 05:39 PM
    RARandomGameBet
    $15.60

    Bought 40 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.39

  • 05:25 PM
    RARandomGameBet
    $4.30

    Bought 5 NEW VISION for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.86

  • 05:25 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $0.56

    Bought 4 Drama eSports for Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season at 0.14

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AB1
abobus2000
Event PnL
-$198.56
Volume
$235.51
Positions
NEW VISION
PO2
poshposh
Event PnL
+$121.60
Volume
$142.51
Positions
Drama eSports
GA3
galagreek
Event PnL
+$0.04
Volume
$75.03
Positions
Drama eSports
JI4
Jimmyman132
Event PnL
+$20.15
Volume
$49.00
Positions
Drama eSports
EB5
0xEbfF…0560
Event PnL
+$32.18
Volume
$38.00
Positions
Drama eSports
E16
E12ESporask121mas027dnc61
Event PnL
-$0.58
Volume
$36.66
Positions
NEW VISION
E17
E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t
Event PnL
-$0.58
Volume
$36.66
Positions
NEW VISION
GR8
grandculp
Event PnL
+$16.99
Volume
$36.00
Positions
Drama eSports

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Drama eSports (+3.5)(5,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $589,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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