BNB Up or Down on August 28?

2026年8月28日
Active
概率趋势
Up 50.0%
Down 50.0%

核心摘要

根据「BNB Up or Down on August 28?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Down 以压倒性的 7,350% 获胜概率主导市场;Up 以 2,650% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Down (7,350%):Down 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Up (2,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Up 保持着 2,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 2,650¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Down7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2Up2650.0%2650¢-2550¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Aug 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Aug 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

常见问题

当前市场对「BNB Up or Down on August 28?」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Down 以 7,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Up(2,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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