National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

$214.1K Vol
2026年8月14日
Active
概率趋势
Casper Ruud 50.5%
Joao Fonseca 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,900% 获胜概率主导市场;National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner 以 6,100% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 21.5 以 5,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $214.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,900%):National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $57 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner (6,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner 保持着 6,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,100¢。
  • National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 21.5 (5,850%):以 5,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,500%)、National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 22.5 (5,100%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.57900.0%$577900¢-7800¢
2National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
3National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 21.55850.0%$3685850¢-5750¢
4National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.55500.0%$3955500¢-5400¢
5National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 22.55100.0%$1.3K5100¢-5000¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 Winner4550.0%$8824550¢-4450¢
11National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 23.54400.0%$54400¢-4300¢
12National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca4350.0%$209.0K4350¢-4250¢
13National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%$10.1K4100¢-4000¢
14National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set Handicap +/-1.53600.0%$6.4K3600¢-3500¢
15National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 10.52950.0%$1702950¢-2850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Joao Fonseca.

This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Casper Ruud.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 7, 2026

  • 08:41 PM
    PEPendulumExchange
    $8,656.58

    Bought 16030.7 Joao Fonseca for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.54

  • 08:33 PM
    KOKomo431
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Fonseca for Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonseca at 0.53

  • 08:32 PM
    KOKomo431
    $102.00

    Bought 192.452829 Fonseca for Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonseca at 0.53

  • 08:31 PM
    0X0x1F54B6Dd05117F40E1B478573471f4B63a8979d2-1765712571649
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638296 Casper Ruud for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.47

  • 08:31 PM
    DRDrake444
    $9.72

    Bought 18 Joao Fonseca for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.54

  • 08:29 PM
    $122.39

    Bought 260.404254 Casper Ruud for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.47

  • 08:27 PM
    $18.00

    Bought 56.25 Over for Ruud vs. Fonseca: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 at 0.32

  • 08:25 PM
    DAdarknight911
    $105.00

    Bought 194.444443 Joao Fonseca for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.54

  • 08:20 PM
    DRDrake444
    $6.86

    Bought 12.943395 Fonseca for Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonseca at 0.53

  • 08:17 PM
    F1f1vio1
    $48.01

    Bought 88.907406 Joao Fonseca for National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at 0.54

  • 08:15 PM
    $22.00

    Bought 68.75 Over for Ruud vs. Fonseca: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 at 0.32

  • 08:10 PM
    MAMargaret667
    $5.02

    Bought 9.662883 Over for Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
+$68.65
Volume
$23,747.01
Positions
Casper Ruud
PE2
PendulumExchange
Event PnL
+$80.15
Volume
$16,030.70
Positions
Joao Fonseca
RI3
riverskew
Event PnL
+$138.73
Volume
$15,480.22
Positions
Casper Ruud
SB4
sbimbg
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$11,999.98
Positions
Joao Fonseca
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$284.68
Volume
$11,121.79
Positions
Joao Fonseca
KA6
kamloic
Event PnL
-$38.72
Volume
$7,744.80
Positions
Casper Ruud
DV7
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$38.55
Volume
$7,710.10
Positions
Joao Fonseca
K58
k56
Event PnL
-$115.64
Volume
$7,709.26
Positions
Casper Ruud

常见问题

当前市场对「National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner(6,100%),以及 National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 21.5(5,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $214.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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