#2 Spotify song this week? (August 14)

根据「#2 Spotify song this week? (August 14)」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 以压倒性的 4,400% 获胜概率主导市场；Petal - Ariana Grande 以 4,350% 位居第二，Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy 以 4,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $8，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande (4,400%)：hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Petal - Ariana Grande (4,350%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Petal - Ariana Grande 保持着 4,350% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,350¢。
• Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy (4,350%)：以 4,350% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

• 替代选项：包括 Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj (4,350%)、Earrings - Malcolm Todd (1,900%)，以及 Billie Jean - Michael Jackson (1,800%)。
• 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 SWIM - BTS 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 14. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled August 14 by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.