MI-03 Republican Primary Winner

Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ryan Cushman 47.0%
Terri DeBoer 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “MI-03 Republican Primary Winner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Ryan Cushman is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,550% chance of winning. Terri DeBoer follows in second place at 4,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Ryan Cushman (4,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Ryan Cushman is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Terri DeBoer (4,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Terri DeBoer maintains a 4,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,550¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Ryan Cushman4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
2Terri DeBoer4550.0%4550¢-4450¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "MI-03 Republican Primary Winner"?

As of the latest update, Ryan Cushman leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,550% win probability, followed by Terri DeBoer at 4,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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