JOLTS Job Openings — July 2026

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “JOLTS Job Openings — July 2026”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 7.1M-7.2M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. 7.2M-7.3M follows in second place at 5,000%, while 7.3M-7.4M sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 7.1M-7.2M (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 7.1M-7.2M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 7.2M-7.3M (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 7.2M-7.3M maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
• 7.3M-7.4M (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 7.3M-7.4M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes <7.1M (2,550%), 7.4M-7.5M (2,550%), and 7.5M-7.6M (2,550%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 7.6M-7.7M are still attracting notable interest.

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.