
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Kernzusammenfassung
Laut den neuesten Prognosemarktdaten zur Frage „LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs“ haben die Händler einen starken Konsens gebildet.
Derzeit dominiert O/U 3.5 Games den Markt mit einer überwältigenden Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 7.350%. Game 4 Winner folgt auf dem zweiten Platz mit 5.650%, während Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? mit 5.550% auf dem dritten Platz liegt. Das Wettvolumen dieses Marktes hat bereits $225,2K erreicht, was auf großes Interesse hindeutet.
Aufschlüsselung der Wettbewerbsstufen
Um besser einzuschätzen, wo jedes mögliche Ergebnis steht, lässt sich der Markt anhand der impliziten Wahrscheinlichkeit und der Kontraktpreise in drei Handelsstufen unterteilen:
🥇 Stufe 1: Der dominante Spitzenreiter
- O/U 3.5 Games (7.350%): Mit der höchsten Wahrscheinlichkeit wird O/U 3.5 Games vom Orderbuch stark favorisiert. Wer auf dieses Ergebnis setzen will, sieht sich einem „Buy Yes“-Kontraktpreis von 7.350¢ gegenüber – ein Zeichen hoher Marktüberzeugung. Allein dieser Kontrakt hat $16.7K Volumen erzeugt.
🥈 Stufe 2: Die wichtigsten Herausforderer
- Game 4 Winner (5.650%): Als tragfähigste Alternative hält Game 4 Winner eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5.650%, einzutreten. Seine „Buy Yes“-Anteile werden derzeit zu 5.650¢ gehandelt.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (5.550%): Auf dem dritten Platz mit 5.550% Wahrscheinlichkeit zeigt der Markt eine maßvolle Skepsis gegenüber Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? und behandelt es als Außenseiter, sofern sich die Dynamik nicht ändert.
🥉 Stufe 3: Die Long-Tail-Optionen (zusammen ~0%)
Über die Top-3 hinaus wird ein breites Feld an Makrovariablen und Außenseiter-Ergebnissen verfolgt. Auch wenn ihre Einzelwahrscheinlichkeiten niedrig sind, bilden sie wichtige Absicherungen für spekulative Händler:
- Alternative Optionen: Dazu gehören Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5.500%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5.450%) und Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (5.450%).
- Spekulatives Volumen: Trotz geringer statistischer Wahrscheinlichkeit ziehen bestimmte Long-Tail-Kontrakte wie Any Player Quadra Kill weiterhin nennenswertes Interesse an.
Umfassendes Orderbuch- & Preis-Dashboard
Die folgende Tabelle zeigt die vollständige Aufschlüsselung von Kontraktpreisen, Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Markttiefe für alle gelisteten Ergebnisse dieses Prognose-Pools:
| Rang | Vorhergesagtes Ergebnis | Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit | Handelsvolumen | Yes kaufen (Kosten) | No kaufen (Kosten) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 7350.0% | $16.7K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 2 | Game 4 Winner | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5550.0% | $2 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5450.0% | $5.0K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5450.0% | $4.1K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5100.0% | $3.0K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 38 | First Blood in Game 4? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 39 | Game 3 Winner | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 40 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 41 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 42 | Game 1 Winner | 4750.0% | $1.8K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 43 | Game 2 Winner | 4750.0% | $15 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 44 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 45 | Match Winner | 4450.0% | $158.7K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 46 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 48 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 3600.0% | $3.7K | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 49 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3450.0% | $24 | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 50 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3250.0% | $29.8K | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 51 | Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | 2950.0% | $852 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 52 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 1550.0% | $1.3K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 53 | Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) | 1250.0% | $120 | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
Abrechnungsregeln
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Movistar KOI.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Team Vitality.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Handelsaktivitäten
Hier sind die Handelsaktivitäten für dieses Event.
Sep 12, 2026
- 12:31 PMLELeslielin$42.31
Sold 66.11 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.64
- 12:30 PMKUkurtz180$15.00
Bought 44.117648 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.34
- 12:27 PMLELeslielin$14.30
Bought 22 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.65
- 12:25 PMKUkurtz180$2.50
Bought 16.666667 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.15
- 12:23 PM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$44.91
Bought 52.837207 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.85
- 11:59 AMQUQuorkie$5.85
Bought 9 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.65
- 11:47 AM——$21.75
Bought 25.588233 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.85
- 11:23 AMJEJellyfox$8.24
Bought 14.99 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.55
- 11:23 AMJEJellyfox$8.40
Bought 15 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.56
- 11:23 AMJEJellyfox$8.10
Bought 15 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.54
- 11:07 AM0X0x01336275E88E0203A7a61A0C9D1f5586416F57C6-1774816226589$1.00
Bought 2.777778 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.36
- 11:00 AMXIxipsetillo$3.52
Bought 20.705883 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.17
Wal-Wallets, die auf dieses Event wetten
Häufig gestellte Fragen
Wie lautet der aktuelle Marktkonsens zu „LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs“?
Zum letzten Stand führt O/U 3.5 Games mit einer Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 7.350%, gefolgt von Game 4 Winner mit 5.650% und Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? mit 5.550%. Das Gesamthandelsvolumen erreicht $225,2K, was hohe Liquidität und Beteiligung signalisiert.
