
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Kernzusammenfassung
Laut den neuesten Prognosemarktdaten zur Frage „LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage“ haben die Händler einen starken Konsens gebildet.
Derzeit dominiert Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? den Markt mit einer überwältigenden Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 6.250%. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? folgt auf dem zweiten Platz mit 6.050%, während Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor mit 5.000% auf dem dritten Platz liegt. Das Wettvolumen dieses Marktes hat bereits $459,9K erreicht, was auf großes Interesse hindeutet.
Aufschlüsselung der Wettbewerbsstufen
Um besser einzuschätzen, wo jedes mögliche Ergebnis steht, lässt sich der Markt anhand der impliziten Wahrscheinlichkeit und der Kontraktpreise in drei Handelsstufen unterteilen:
🥇 Stufe 1: Der dominante Spitzenreiter
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6.250%): Mit der höchsten Wahrscheinlichkeit wird Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? vom Orderbuch stark favorisiert. Wer auf dieses Ergebnis setzen will, sieht sich einem „Buy Yes“-Kontraktpreis von 6.250¢ gegenüber – ein Zeichen hoher Marktüberzeugung.
🥈 Stufe 2: Die wichtigsten Herausforderer
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6.050%): Als tragfähigste Alternative hält Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 6.050%, einzutreten. Seine „Buy Yes“-Anteile werden derzeit zu 6.050¢ gehandelt.
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5.000%): Auf dem dritten Platz mit 5.000% Wahrscheinlichkeit zeigt der Markt eine maßvolle Skepsis gegenüber Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor und behandelt es als Außenseiter, sofern sich die Dynamik nicht ändert.
🥉 Stufe 3: Die Long-Tail-Optionen (zusammen ~0%)
Über die Top-3 hinaus wird ein breites Feld an Makrovariablen und Außenseiter-Ergebnissen verfolgt. Auch wenn ihre Einzelwahrscheinlichkeiten niedrig sind, bilden sie wichtige Absicherungen für spekulative Händler:
- Alternative Optionen: Dazu gehören Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5.000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5.000%) und Any Player Quadra Kill (5.000%).
- Spekulatives Volumen: Trotz geringer statistischer Wahrscheinlichkeit ziehen bestimmte Long-Tail-Kontrakte wie Any Player Penta Kill weiterhin nennenswertes Interesse an.
Umfassendes Orderbuch- & Preis-Dashboard
Die folgende Tabelle zeigt die vollständige Aufschlüsselung von Kontraktpreisen, Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Markttiefe für alle gelisteten Ergebnisse dieses Prognose-Pools:
| Rang | Vorhergesagtes Ergebnis | Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit | Handelsvolumen | Yes kaufen (Kosten) | No kaufen (Kosten) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 22 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 23 | Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 4750.0% | $23.1K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 24 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4550.0% | $2 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 25 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 4350.0% | $52 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 26 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4250.0% | $1.5K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 27 | Game 1 Winner | 3350.0% | $3.5K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 28 | Game 2 Winner | 3250.0% | $166 | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 29 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 30 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 31 | Match Winner | 2650.0% | $431.5K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
Abrechnungsregeln
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against JD Gaming.
This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Handelsaktivitäten
Hier sind die Handelsaktivitäten für dieses Event.
Oct 8, 2026
- 01:53 AM——$1.20
Bought 2.553192 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.47
- 01:53 AM——$30.00
Bought 55.555556 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.54
- 01:53 AM——$10.00
Bought 38.461539 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26
- 01:52 AM——$50.00
Bought 106.382979 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.47
- 01:51 AMEVEVHS$10.00
Bought 38.461539 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26
- 01:51 AMCWcws31$100.00
Bought 303.030304 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.33
- 01:46 AMCRCryingWhale$6.90
Bought 9.2 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75
- 01:46 AMCScsgamer11$549.30
Bought 2112.692308 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26
- 01:43 AMCHchet1101$300.00
Bought 400 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75
- 01:42 AMHRHRTHRTJRTJ$105.04
Bought 404 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26
- 01:40 AMAFAFASFEWG$101.25
Bought 135 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75
- 01:40 AMVSVSDSDZGD$84.00
Bought 112 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75
Wal-Wallets, die auf dieses Event wetten
Häufig gestellte Fragen
Wie lautet der aktuelle Marktkonsens zu „LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage“?
Zum letzten Stand führt Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? mit einer Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 6.250%, gefolgt von Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? mit 6.050% und Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor mit 5.000%. Das Gesamthandelsvolumen erreicht $459,9K, was hohe Liquidität und Beteiligung signalisiert.
