
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Kernzusammenfassung
Laut den neuesten Prognosemarktdaten zur Frage „LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage“ haben die Händler einen starken Konsens gebildet.
Derzeit dominiert First Blood in Game 1? den Markt mit einer überwältigenden Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 5.400%. Any Player Penta Kill folgt auf dem zweiten Platz mit 5.150%, während Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors mit 5.100% auf dem dritten Platz liegt. Das Wettvolumen dieses Marktes hat bereits $598,9K erreicht, was auf großes Interesse hindeutet.
Aufschlüsselung der Wettbewerbsstufen
Um besser einzuschätzen, wo jedes mögliche Ergebnis steht, lässt sich der Markt anhand der impliziten Wahrscheinlichkeit und der Kontraktpreise in drei Handelsstufen unterteilen:
🥇 Stufe 1: Der dominante Spitzenreiter
- First Blood in Game 1? (5.400%): Mit der höchsten Wahrscheinlichkeit wird First Blood in Game 1? vom Orderbuch stark favorisiert. Wer auf dieses Ergebnis setzen will, sieht sich einem „Buy Yes“-Kontraktpreis von 5.400¢ gegenüber – ein Zeichen hoher Marktüberzeugung.
🥈 Stufe 2: Die wichtigsten Herausforderer
- Any Player Penta Kill (5.150%): Als tragfähigste Alternative hält Any Player Penta Kill eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5.150%, einzutreten. Seine „Buy Yes“-Anteile werden derzeit zu 5.150¢ gehandelt.
- Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5.100%): Auf dem dritten Platz mit 5.100% Wahrscheinlichkeit zeigt der Markt eine maßvolle Skepsis gegenüber Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors und behandelt es als Außenseiter, sofern sich die Dynamik nicht ändert.
🥉 Stufe 3: Die Long-Tail-Optionen (zusammen ~0%)
Über die Top-3 hinaus wird ein breites Feld an Makrovariablen und Außenseiter-Ergebnissen verfolgt. Auch wenn ihre Einzelwahrscheinlichkeiten niedrig sind, bilden sie wichtige Absicherungen für spekulative Händler:
- Alternative Optionen: Dazu gehören Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5.050%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5.050%) und Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5.050%).
- Spekulatives Volumen: Trotz geringer statistischer Wahrscheinlichkeit ziehen bestimmte Long-Tail-Kontrakte wie Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors weiterhin nennenswertes Interesse an.
Umfassendes Orderbuch- & Preis-Dashboard
Die folgende Tabelle zeigt die vollständige Aufschlüsselung von Kontraktpreisen, Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Markttiefe für alle gelisteten Ergebnisse dieses Prognose-Pools:
| Rang | Vorhergesagtes Ergebnis | Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit | Handelsvolumen | Yes kaufen (Kosten) | No kaufen (Kosten) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4800.0% | $21 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 4750.0% | $36 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | $37 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 22 | Game 2 Winner | 4450.0% | $181 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 23 | Game 1 Winner | 4350.0% | $20 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 24 | Match Winner | 4350.0% | $598.4K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 25 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 26 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 27 | Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) | 3300.0% | $133 | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
Abrechnungsregeln
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between GAM Esports and Shopify Rebellion in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against GAM Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Handelsaktivitäten
Hier sind die Handelsaktivitäten für dieses Event.
Oct 6, 2026
- 12:56 PM——$3.00
Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:56 PMMAmack.lcvv$45.00
Bought 75 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
- 12:54 PM——$3.00
Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:54 PM——$3.00
Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:54 PMSNsn-ow$1.00
Bought 1.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
- 12:54 PM——$3.00
Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:54 PMJZjzr09$7.00
Bought 11.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
- 12:54 PM——$50.00
Bought 83.333332 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
- 12:54 PMTEteardropsaidmyname$1,000.00
Bought 1666.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
- 12:54 PM——$12.72
Bought 31.02 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:44 PM——$3.00
Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41
- 12:44 PMTHthaimeo$5.00
Bought 8.333332 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6
Wal-Wallets, die auf dieses Event wetten
Häufig gestellte Fragen
Wie lautet der aktuelle Marktkonsens zu „LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage“?
Zum letzten Stand führt First Blood in Game 1? mit einer Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 5.400%, gefolgt von Any Player Penta Kill mit 5.150% und Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors mit 5.100%. Das Gesamthandelsvolumen erreicht $598,9K, was hohe Liquidität und Beteiligung signalisiert.
