
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day
核心摘要
根據「Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $304.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day (9,995%):Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $326.1K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%)、Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Completed Match (9,950%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day | 9995.0% | $326.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $37 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 | 9995.0% | $141 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 22.5 | 9995.0% | $44 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | $4 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45.0% | $6 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45.0% | $6 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Shuai Zhang and Kayla Day in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shuai Zhang' if Shuai Zhang advances against Kayla Day.
This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Shuai Zhang.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 15, 2026
- 08:35 AM——$117.77
Bought 226.480768 Kayla Day for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.52
- 06:39 AMSUsuntori$2.97
Bought 5.71 Kayla Day for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.52
- 04:31 AM0X0x3057a0af9c9B4217eE245cfd32E7f47DE43EB550-1778692097703$1.09
Bought 2.422221 Over for Zhang vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.45
- 04:28 AM0X0x7275209c49346712d75F11FD3bB6A44AE06B31EA-1769023174998$1.00
Bought 2.040815 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 12:24 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$2.38
Bought 4.857141 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
Aug 14, 2026
- 11:37 PMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 40.816325 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 07:59 PM——$4.02
Bought 6 Zhang for Set Handicap: Day (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) at 0.67
- 06:28 PMINinputoutputsystem$9.79
Sold 20.4 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.48
- 06:24 PMINinputoutputsystem$10.00
Bought 20.408162 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 06:11 PMAGAgallae$100.00
Bought 204.081631 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 04:18 PM0X0x1793797BDEDAab854f300cf2b587b98B8c644Ebb-1766156231767$5.00
Bought 10.20408 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 03:57 PMFTftgv$11.20
Bought 20 Under for Zhang vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.56
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,995%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $304.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
