
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek
核心摘要
根據「Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek 以壓倒性的 9,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner 以 9,050% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner 以 8,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $78.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek (9,250%):Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $98.7K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
- Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner (8,150%):以 8,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,550%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek | 9250.0% | $98.7K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner | 9050.0% | $714 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner | 8150.0% | $46 | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 7550.0% | $5.0K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | $24 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 21.5 | 2650.0% | $45 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 2150.0% | $687 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sara Bejlek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Sara Bejlek.
This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Aryna Sabalenka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 19, 2026
- 09:12 PM0X0x48cFB6dB98fEfEACc6A3A030a1865de0b6adC7dF-1764056399219$14.00
Bought 100 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14
- 09:10 PMSTStefnc$20.00
Bought 22.9885 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 08:55 PM——$69.21
Bought 79.551723 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 08:21 PM——$3.00
Bought 21.42857 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14
- 08:16 PMDDDDDSKUN$174.00
Bought 200 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:53 PM0X0x848763d8DdAE107f132bFC10524fFb85C4577f21-1778415814813$1.00
Bought 1.149423 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:46 PMVAvasand$52.20
Bought 60 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:44 PMLELeecoTradeHappy$100.00
Bought 114.942523 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:43 PMLELeecoTradeHappy$100.00
Bought 114.942523 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:40 PM0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106$5.13
Bought 5.896546 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87
- 07:30 PM0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162$8.20
Bought 10.25 Sabalenka for Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlek at 0.8
- 07:30 PMMOmountion$4.20
Bought 30 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14
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常見問題
目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek 以 9,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner(9,050%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner(8,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $78.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
