Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury

$451.1K Vol

2026年8月30日

Active

機率趨勢

Phoenix Mercury 100.0%

Toronto Tempo 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Spread -9.5 以壓倒性的 9,755% 獲勝機率主導市場；Spread -8.5 以 9,300% 位居第二，Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $451.1K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

Spread -9.5 (9,755%)：Spread -9.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,755¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $108.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

Spread -8.5 (9,300%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Spread -8.5 保持著 9,300% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,300¢。
Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 (5,050%)：以 5,050% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

替代選項：包括 Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.5 (5,050%)、Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 (5,050%)，以及 Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 (5,000%)。
投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名	預測結果	獲勝機率	成交量	買入 Yes（成本）	買入 No（成本）
1	Spread -9.5	9755.0%	$108.4K	9755¢	-9655¢
2	Spread -8.5	9300.0%	$22.1K	9300¢	-9200¢
3	Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5	5050.0%	—	5050¢	-4950¢
4	Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.5	5050.0%	—	5050¢	-4950¢
5	Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5	5050.0%	$139	5050¢	-4950¢
6	Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
7	Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
8	Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
9	Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
10	Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.5	5000.0%	$25	5000¢	-4900¢
11	Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
12	Laura Juskaite: Rebounds O/U 5.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
13	Kiki Rice: Rebounds O/U 4.5	5000.0%	$130	5000¢	-4900¢
14	Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 4.5	5000.0%	$88	5000¢	-4900¢
15	Laura Juskaite: Assists O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
16	Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 1.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
17	Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.5	5000.0%	$44	5000¢	-4900¢
18	Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.5	5000.0%	$25	5000¢	-4900¢
19	Natasha Mack: Points O/U 10.5	5000.0%	$25	5000¢	-4900¢
20	Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 8.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
21	Sami Whitcomb: Assists O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
22	Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 5.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
23	Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.5	4990.0%	$663	4990¢	-4890¢
24	Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5	4990.0%	$173	4990¢	-4890¢
25	Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5	4990.0%	$163	4990¢	-4890¢
26	Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 22.5	4990.0%	$718	4990¢	-4890¢
27	Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 23.5	4990.0%	$448	4990¢	-4890¢
28	O/U 171.5	3950.0%	$2.1K	3950¢	-3850¢
29	O/U 172.5	3350.0%	$44.5K	3350¢	-3250¢
30	O/U 173.5	2250.0%	$157.9K	2250¢	-2150¢
31	O/U 174.5	2050.0%	$51.5K	2050¢	-1950¢
32	O/U 176.5	1450.0%	$60.2K	1450¢	-1350¢
33	O/U 177.5	1350.0%	$6.6K	1350¢	-1250¢
34	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury	5.0%	$89.8K	5¢	95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 29, 2026

09:34 PM
CHChickenTenders
$78.00
Bought 130 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 at 0.6
09:28 PM
SOsoday
$200.00
Bought 384.615383 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) at 0.52
08:55 PM
STstyllo
$180.00
Bought 290.322578 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.62
08:38 PM
0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
$1.02
Bought 2.42857 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.42
08:38 PM
CMcmemaverick
$0.74
Bought 1.45 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51
08:38 PM
0X0xC42caB459BaB678A414A4f8C8054a832e2Ad42A1-1748375989996
$24.99
Bought 49 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51
08:38 PM
FLFlaznorp
$4.65
Bought 7.881353 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.59
08:37 PM
0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
$1.02
Bought 2.125 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5) at 0.48
08:05 PM
PRProTradering
$3.26
Bought 4.12658 Phoenix Mercury for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.79
08:02 PM
0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
$5.00
Bought 9.433961 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53
08:00 PM
WAWalrusPunch
$3.34
Bought 6.297923 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53
08:00 PM
0X0x187wyytangerrine
$292.00
Bought 595.918366 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1

nigiri99

Event PnL

-$4,923.45

Volume

$164,662.91

Positions

UnderToronto TempoUnder+5

HU2

huli3882

Event PnL

-$78.64

Volume

$145,873.31

Positions

OverOverOver+4

SA3

Sassy-Bucket

Event PnL

+$115.09

Volume

$57,153.80

Positions

OverOverOver+1

HO4

HomeRunHazard

Event PnL

-$671.26

Volume

$38,781.31

Positions

UnderUnderPhoenix Mercury+4

F65

0xf668…3123

Event PnL

-$1,729.97

Volume

$28,704.24

Positions

Toronto Tempo

SU6

SunlineTicker

Event PnL

+$45.93

Volume

$26,000.38

Positions

OverUnderToronto Tempo+2

FE7

ferrariChampions2026

Event PnL

-$784.87

Volume

$21,978.85

Positions

UnderPhoenix MercuryUnder+1

HE8

0xheavy888

Event PnL

-$46.59

Volume

$13,945.61

Positions

Phoenix MercuryUnderPhoenix Mercury+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Spread -9.5 以 9,755% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Spread -8.5（9,300%），以及 Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5（5,050%）。該市場總成交量已達 $451.1K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。