Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire

$84.2K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Minnesota Lynx 86.5%
PortlandFire 13.5%

核心摘要

根據「Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 以壓倒性的 8,650% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 183.5 以 5,600% 位居第二，Spread -11.5 以 5,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $84.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire (8,650%)：Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,650¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $24.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 183.5 (5,600%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 183.5 保持著 5,600% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,600¢。
  • Spread -11.5 (5,450%)：以 5,450% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -11.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 184.5 (5,350%)、Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 (5,200%)，以及 Spread -12.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 O/U 185.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire8650.0%$24.8K8650¢-8550¢
2O/U 183.55600.0%$3.8K5600¢-5500¢
3Spread -11.55450.0%$18.6K5450¢-5350¢
4O/U 184.55350.0%$4.7K5350¢-5250¢
5Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Spread -12.55050.0%$48.2K5050¢-4950¢
7O/U 185.55050.0%$13.8K5050¢-4950¢
8Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.54950.0%$3464950¢-4850¢
11O/U 186.54850.0%$9.0K4850¢-4750¢
12Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
13Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.54750.0%$574750¢-4650¢
14Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
15Spread -13.54650.0%$10.9K4650¢-4550¢
16Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
17Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.54450.0%$324450¢-4350¢
18Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.54400.0%$764400¢-4300¢
19Natasha Howard: Points O/U 12.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
20Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 3.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
21Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.54150.0%$3.5K4150¢-4050¢
22Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.54100.0%$54100¢-4000¢
23Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 7.53800.0%$1103800¢-3700¢
24Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
25Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 3.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
26Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
27Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 1.52450.0%$392450¢-2350¢
28Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.52200.0%$1992200¢-2100¢
29Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.52050.0%$2342050¢-1950¢
30Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.52000.0%$302000¢-1900¢
31Carla Leite: Points O/U 15.51950.0%$1.5K1950¢-1850¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

If the PortlandFire win, the market will resolve to "PortlandFire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 12, 2026

  • 08:45 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $9.63

    Bought 19.25 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5 at 0.5

  • 08:44 AM
    EFEF717
    $12.15

    Bought 21.696427 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.56

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.85

    Bought 5.089284 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.56

  • 08:44 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $38.65

    Bought 70.27 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.55

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.64

    Bought 5.076922 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.52

  • 08:44 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $44.41

    Bought 87.07 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.51

  • 08:42 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5 at 0.5

  • 08:42 AM
    CUCUPFan
    $3.95

    Bought 7.32 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    VKVkey5
    $1.28

    Bought 2.370369 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    ——
    $1.30

    Bought 2.407406 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $187.95

    Bought 354.62 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.53

  • 08:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $247.04

    Bought 475.08 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CO1
ComingBack
Event PnL
+$28.55
Volume
$17,732.00
Positions
Minnesota LynxMinnesota LynxUnder
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$141.16
Volume
$17,432.02
Positions
Minnesota LynxPortland FireUnder+5
CA3
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$0.13
Volume
$15,938.60
Positions
PortlandFire
PM4
PM1688
Event PnL
+$60.38
Volume
$8,308.31
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
FU5
Fujimi888
Event PnL
+$112.50
Volume
$6,265.98
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
YO6
YONGWIN004
Event PnL
+$64.05
Volume
$5,316.49
Positions
Portland Fire
CH7
chanello
Event PnL
-$20.07
Volume
$4,831.22
Positions
Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
HI8
hi774c
Event PnL
-$67.57
Volume
$4,812.44
Positions
Minnesota LynxOver

常見問題

目前市場對「Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 以 8,650% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 183.5（5,600%），以及 Spread -11.5（5,450%）。該市場總成交量已達 $84.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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