Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries

$99.4K Vol

2026年8月20日

Active

機率趨勢

Minnesota Lynx 57.5%

Golden State Valkyries 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries 以壓倒性的 5,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 以 5,400% 位居第二，Spread -1.5 以 5,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $99.4K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries (5,750%)：Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $28.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,400%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 保持著 5,400% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,400¢。
Spread -1.5 (5,350%)：以 5,350% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

替代選項：包括 Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.5 (5,100%)、Spread -2.5 (5,050%)，以及 Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,050%)。
投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名	預測結果	獲勝機率	成交量	買入 Yes（成本）	買入 No（成本）
1	Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries	5750.0%	$28.9K	5750¢	-5650¢
2	Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5	5400.0%	—	5400¢	-5300¢
3	Spread -1.5	5350.0%	$327	5350¢	-5250¢
4	Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.5	5100.0%	$6	5100¢	-5000¢
5	Spread -2.5	5050.0%	$2.6K	5050¢	-4950¢
6	Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5	5050.0%	$26	5050¢	-4950¢
7	Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.5	5050.0%	$15	5050¢	-4950¢
8	O/U 163.5	4850.0%	$5.9K	4850¢	-4750¢
9	Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5	4750.0%	—	4750¢	-4650¢
10	O/U 164.5	4650.0%	$61.1K	4650¢	-4550¢
11	Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5	4500.0%	$228	4500¢	-4400¢
12	O/U 165.5	4450.0%	$341	4450¢	-4350¢
13	Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5	4450.0%	$121	4450¢	-4350¢
14	Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5	4450.0%	$92	4450¢	-4350¢
15	Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.5	4400.0%	$99	4400¢	-4300¢
16	Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.5	4350.0%	$75	4350¢	-4250¢
17	Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.5	4300.0%	$2	4300¢	-4200¢
18	Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5	4250.0%	$197	4250¢	-4150¢
19	O/U 166.5	4150.0%	$491	4150¢	-4050¢
20	Kayla McBride: Points O/U 14.5	4150.0%	$2	4150¢	-4050¢
21	Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5	4050.0%	$122	4050¢	-3950¢
22	O/U 167.5	3950.0%	$248	3950¢	-3850¢
23	Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 5.5	3900.0%	$8	3900¢	-3800¢
24	O/U 168.5	3700.0%	$315	3700¢	-3600¢
25	Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5	3700.0%	$64	3700¢	-3600¢
26	Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 3.5	3450.0%	—	3450¢	-3350¢
27	Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 2.5	3150.0%	$45	3150¢	-3050¢
28	Courtney Williams: Points O/U 10.5	3000.0%	$46	3000¢	-2900¢
29	Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5	2350.0%	$3	2350¢	-2250¢
30	Olivia Miles: Points O/U 20.5	2000.0%	$3	2000¢	-1900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 19 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 19, 2026

08:52 AM
THtheodyssey
$15.15
Bought 30.3 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5 at 0.5
08:49 AM
QUquavoo
$4.77
Bought 9 Under for Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5 at 0.53
08:49 AM
QUquavoo
$100.70
Bought 190 Under for Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5 at 0.53
08:48 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2 Yes for Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5 at 0.5
08:43 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2.32558 Yes for Kayla McBride: Points O/U 14.5 at 0.43
08:40 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2.173912 Yes for Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.5 at 0.46
08:35 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2.439023 Yes for Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 at 0.41
08:34 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2.222221 Yes for Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.5 at 0.45
08:32 AM
0X0x9677c9B85f1E22Ca5F2A1F71D4D9F816076d5D8B-1786908196823
$1.00
Bought 2.439023 Yes for Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 at 0.41
08:25 AM
ANAntiVaxxer
$2.85
Bought 5 No for Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5 at 0.57
08:19 AM
0X0xdc27b17c21Fce2B9c3260B5664C19f921F9e5b64-1772610724945
$1.00
Bought 2.083332 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5) at 0.48
08:15 AM
DRDriftCapital
$9.44
Bought 16.57 No for Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5 at 0.57

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TH1

theodyssey

Event PnL

+$0.15

Volume

$52,164.09

Positions

Over

PW2

Pwaddler

Event PnL

+$83.64

Volume

$14,156.21

Positions

Minnesota Lynx

HO3

HomeRunHazard

Event PnL

-$20.06

Volume

$13,501.78

Positions

UnderGolden State ValkyriesOver+1

SE4

sentrio

Event PnL

-$41.91

Volume

$11,811.18

Positions

UnderGolden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries

8C5

0x8cbf…1636

Event PnL

+$50.00

Volume

$10,000.00

Positions

Under

B26

0xB209…2293

Event PnL

+$39.43

Volume

$7,886.05

Positions

UnderOver

AN7

AnonymousUsername

Event PnL

-$0.78

Volume

$6,070.94

Positions

Golden State Valkyries

WE8

wenzai168

Event PnL

+$27.12

Volume

$5,423.44

Positions

Under

常見問題

目前市場對「Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries 以 5,750% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5（5,400%），以及 Spread -1.5（5,350%）。該市場總成交量已達 $99.4K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。