Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire

$99.5K Vol
2026年8月31日
Active
機率趨勢
Golden State Valkyries 71.5%
Portland Fire 28.5%

核心摘要

根據「Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 以壓倒性的 9,450% 獲勝機率主導市場；Spread -5.5 以 9,200% 位居第二，Spread -6.5 以 8,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $99.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire (9,450%)：Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,450¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $67.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Spread -5.5 (9,200%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Spread -5.5 保持著 9,200% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,200¢。
  • Spread -6.5 (8,650%)：以 8,650% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Spread -6.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 157.5 (6,500%)、O/U 158.5 (5,550%)，以及 Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire9450.0%$67.7K9450¢-9350¢
2Spread -5.59200.0%$44.6K9200¢-9100¢
3Spread -6.58650.0%$10.2K8650¢-8550¢
4O/U 157.56500.0%$17.5K6500¢-6400¢
5O/U 158.55550.0%$22.7K5550¢-5450¢
6Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.55100.0%$385100¢-5000¢
7Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 12.55050.0%$25050¢-4950¢
9Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10O/U 159.55000.0%$23.3K5000¢-4900¢
11Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Veronica Burton: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Emily Engstler: Points O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Emily Engstler: Rebounds O/U 6.55000.0%$375000¢-4900¢
16Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.55000.0%$1365000¢-4900¢
21Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Emily Engstler: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Tiffany Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Tiffany Hayes: Assists O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Kaitlyn Chen: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 30 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:23 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    NInigiri99
    $244.40

    Bought 470 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:19 PM
    CCCCP6969
    $58.79

    Bought 122.479165 Portland Fire for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.48

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 09:03 PM
    WSWSoKka
    $2.90

    Bought 5.918366 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.49

  • 09:00 PM
    SUsuntori
    $1.98

    Bought 3.735848 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.53

  • 08:58 PM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $12.79

    Bought 23.254544 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 08:58 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $1,842.30

    Bought 4005 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 08:58 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 08:57 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $8.53

    Bought 18.96 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.45

  • 08:56 PM
    CLcloser1
    $14.56

    Bought 28 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$20.86
Volume
$35,098.72
Positions
Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$642.01
Volume
$32,392.65
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
2A3
0x2Ab1…4007
Event PnL
+$12.36
Volume
$25,654.03
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$1,610.36
Volume
$18,495.82
Positions
Portland FirePortland FireOver
BI5
bigZag
Event PnL
+$641.02
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$503.86
Volume
$5,976.84
Positions
OverGolden State ValkyriesPortland Fire+1
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$25.16
Volume
$5,250.25
Positions
OverGolden State ValkyriesOver
BE8
0xbEFa…1253
Event PnL
+$359.75
Volume
$4,828.97
Positions
Golden State Valkyries

常見問題

目前市場對「Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 以 9,450% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Spread -5.5（9,200%），以及 Spread -6.5（8,650%）。該市場總成交量已達 $99.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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