
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty
核心摘要
根據「Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spread -8.5 以壓倒性的 7,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -9.5 以 6,800% 位居第二,Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $131.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spread -8.5 (7,200%):Spread -8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $51.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -9.5 (6,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -9.5 保持著 6,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,800¢。
- Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 (5,000%)、Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 16.5 (5,000%),以及 Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 12.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -8.5 | 7200.0% | $51.0K | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 2 | Spread -9.5 | 6800.0% | $10.0K | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 3 | Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Leonie Fiebich: Points O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Leonie Fiebich: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Leonie Fiebich: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.5 | 4510.0% | $1.9K | 4510¢ | -4410¢ |
| 25 | O/U 179.5 | 950.0% | $14.2K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 26 | O/U 180.5 | 700.0% | $7.0K | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 27 | Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty | 650.0% | $53.5K | 650¢ | -550¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky".
If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 29, 2026
- 09:30 AM0X0x3A129ba47Bc3B686613e55D072a0c8c70db9fcEa-1769267639231$10.00
Bought 20 Under for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.5
- 09:12 AM——$2.00
Bought 3.636362 Chicago Sky for Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) at 0.55
- 09:10 AM——$2.00
Bought 4 Under for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.5
- 08:31 AM——$2.50
Bought 5 Under for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.5
- 08:21 AMSOsoday$100.00
Bought 196.07843 Over for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.51
- 08:02 AMBWbwabdd$13.82
Bought 60.086955 Chicago Sky for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty at 0.23
- 07:56 AM——$17.25
Bought 22.115381 New York Liberty for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty at 0.78
- 07:55 AMNInigiri99$10.50
Bought 21 New York Liberty for Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) at 0.5
- 07:53 AMOVOVOXOSM$50.00
Bought 64.102563 New York Liberty for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty at 0.78
- 07:34 AMSUsuntori$9.52
Bought 19.42857 Under for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.49
- 07:08 AMSUsuntori$4.66
Bought 9.52 Under for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 at 0.49
- 07:01 AMDDDDDSKUN$78.00
Bought 100 New York Liberty for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty at 0.78
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spread -8.5 以 7,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -9.5(6,800%),以及 Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $131.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
