Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

$55K Vol
2026年8月23日
Active
機率趨勢
Atlanta Dream 74.5%
Phoenix Mercury 25.5%

核心摘要

根據「Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -5.5 以 5,850% 位居第二,Spread -6.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury (7,550%):Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $27.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -5.5 (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -5.5 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
  • Spread -6.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -6.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 175.5 (5,450%)、O/U 176.5 (5,350%),以及 Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury7550.0%$27.9K7550¢-7450¢
2Spread -5.55850.0%$19.3K5850¢-5750¢
3Spread -6.55550.0%$555550¢-5450¢
4O/U 175.55450.0%$1.5K5450¢-5350¢
5O/U 176.55350.0%$4.9K5350¢-5250¢
6Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Spread -7.55150.0%$4.7K5150¢-5050¢
9Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
13Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
17Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.54850.0%$214850¢-4750¢
18Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
19Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
20Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
22Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 9.54150.0%$54150¢-4050¢
23Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
24Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 8.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
25Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
26Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
27Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
28Angel Reese: Assists O/U 3.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 22, 2026

  • 07:49 PM
    3B3bass
    $30.04

    Bought 40.048532 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.75

  • 07:37 PM
    GPGPerdomo
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74

  • 07:02 PM
    QWqwe6897
    $22.20

    Bought 30 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74

  • 06:01 PM
    0X0x7e092E426EE75607D1fD5a6eD1d9D387fF0dbcc0-1764928343859
    $3.70

    Bought 5 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74

  • 05:22 PM
    DUDummySane
    $1.00

    Bought 3.703702 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.27

  • 04:27 PM
    FUFuzzydog
    $5.00

    Bought 18.518517 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.27

  • 04:25 PM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 25.729726 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74

  • 04:11 PM
    SUsunnyhussain96
    $1,841.06

    Bought 2522 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.73

  • 04:05 PM
    DAdas1983
    $2.00

    Bought 7.142856 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.28

  • 03:40 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $0.26

    Sold 0.36 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.72

  • 03:40 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.73

  • 03:08 PM
    SUsunnyhussain96
    $36.00

    Bought 50 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.72

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$296.63
Volume
$11,222.14
Positions
Atlanta DreamAtlanta DreamPhoenix Mercury
SP2
sportmaster777
Event PnL
-$356.46
Volume
$10,748.68
Positions
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix MercuryUnder
SE3
sentrio
Event PnL
-$21.61
Volume
$9,117.79
Positions
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream+3
CA4
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$42.21
Volume
$7,272.40
Positions
Phoenix Mercury
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$23.94
Volume
$7,076.82
Positions
Atlanta DreamOverUnder+3
1W6
1winstreak1
Event PnL
+$266.76
Volume
$4,850.02
Positions
Atlanta Dream
697
0x696A…0594
Event PnL
+$22.33
Volume
$4,781.21
Positions
Atlanta Dream
QU8
quavoo
Event PnL
+$182.24
Volume
$4,053.50
Positions
Atlanta DreamOverOver

常見問題

目前市場對「Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -5.5(5,850%),以及 Spread -6.5(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始