
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
核心摘要
根據「Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -5.5 以 5,850% 位居第二,Spread -6.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury (7,550%):Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $27.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -5.5 (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -5.5 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
- Spread -6.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -6.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 175.5 (5,450%)、O/U 176.5 (5,350%),以及 Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,200%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury | 7550.0% | $27.9K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 2 | Spread -5.5 | 5850.0% | $19.3K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 3 | Spread -6.5 | 5550.0% | $55 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 4 | O/U 175.5 | 5450.0% | $1.5K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 5 | O/U 176.5 | 5350.0% | $4.9K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 6 | Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 7 | Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 5150.0% | $4.7K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 9 | Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 10 | Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 11 | Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 12 | Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 13 | Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 17 | Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 4850.0% | $21 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 18 | Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 19 | Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 20 | Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 21 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 22 | Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 9.5 | 4150.0% | $5 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 23 | Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 24 | Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 8.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 25 | Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 26 | Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 27 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 28 | Angel Reese: Assists O/U 3.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".
If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 22, 2026
- 07:49 PM3B3bass$30.04
Bought 40.048532 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.75
- 07:37 PMGPGPerdomo$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74
- 07:02 PMQWqwe6897$22.20
Bought 30 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74
- 06:01 PM0X0x7e092E426EE75607D1fD5a6eD1d9D387fF0dbcc0-1764928343859$3.70
Bought 5 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74
- 05:22 PMDUDummySane$1.00
Bought 3.703702 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.27
- 04:27 PMFUFuzzydog$5.00
Bought 18.518517 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.27
- 04:25 PMSUsuntori$19.04
Bought 25.729726 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.74
- 04:11 PMSUsunnyhussain96$1,841.06
Bought 2522 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.73
- 04:05 PMDAdas1983$2.00
Bought 7.142856 Phoenix Mercury for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.28
- 03:40 PMSWSweatypalms447$0.26
Sold 0.36 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.72
- 03:40 PMSWSweatypalms447$1.00
Bought 1.369862 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.73
- 03:08 PMSUsunnyhussain96$36.00
Bought 50 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.72
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -5.5(5,850%),以及 Spread -6.5(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
