
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
核心摘要
根據「Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以壓倒性的 7,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 7,200% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 7,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $89.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (7,200%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (7,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 保持著 7,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,200¢。
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (7,100%):以 7,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (6,550%)、Map 1 Winner (6,250%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,200%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 7100.0% | $132 | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 4 | Match Winner | 6550.0% | $89.7K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Winner | 6250.0% | $390 | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 6200.0% | $8 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 6200.0% | $8 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 8 | Map 2 Winner | 6150.0% | $294 | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 10 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 14 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4550.0% | $50 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 16 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 17 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Joblife (+3.5) | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 18 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Joblife (+3.5) | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 19 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 20 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5) | 3800.0% | $53 | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 21 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Joblife (+3.5) | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 22 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 3800.0% | $2 | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 23 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Joblife in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Joblife.
This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win the match against Natus Vincere.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 5, 2026
- 08:40 PMRUrubysh$29.40
Bought 46.666664 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:29 PMREretrewwwwe$157.46
Sold 253.96 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.62
- 08:23 PMREretrewwwwe$160.00
Bought 253.968251 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:11 PMMEMeji41$4.50
Bought 7.142856 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:08 PMYIYipriest0$2.30
Bought 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 08:08 PMYIYipriest0$3.05
Bought 5 Joblife for Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5) at 0.61
- 08:01 PMOVOvences$30.00
Bought 47.619045 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:00 PMYEyeqKk$75.00
Bought 119.047618 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:00 PMSGsgtmike$3.63
Bought 5.761902 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 08:00 PM0X0xfAD4C36A0d95FDBd59E3cc3138aB0430C33A379B-1768516080867$19.00
Bought 50 Joblife for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.38
- 07:59 PM0X0xFdA1B96040D2D051793a27014Dc08b34aEDC06a4-1768003115671$6.00
Bought 9.523808 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
- 07:58 PM0X0x6956e5D078A35b74a296507E3C6d69BD0B4A5915-1775326275157$29.00
Bought 46.031745 Natus Vincere for Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.63
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 7,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5(7,200%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5(7,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $89.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
