Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

$76.2K Vol
2026年8月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Sharper Esport 100.0%
DetonatioN FocusMe 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,005% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $76.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $168 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 9,005% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,005¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,000%)、Match Winner (5%),以及 Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5) (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs Sharper Esport (+2.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1689995¢-9895¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Match Winner5.0%$49.2K95¢
6Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs Sharper Esport (+1.5)5.0%$7295¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs Sharper Esport (+2.5)5.0%95¢
8Map Handicap: SPE (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between DetonatioN FocusMe and Sharper Esport in the VCT Pacific Play-In, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win the match against Sharper Esport.

This market will resolve to "Sharper Esport" if Sharper Esport win the match against DetonatioN FocusMe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 15, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 15, 2026

  • 08:45 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:45 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $120.00

    Bought 300 Sharper Esport for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.4

  • 08:45 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $4.12

    Bought 10.3 Sharper Esport for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.4

  • 08:45 AM
    $1.23

    Bought 2.016392 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0xb41b2102f77c65A0Db363AEE032F0c53EC9ab5e3-1777685317907
    $7.59

    Bought 12.44262 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:44 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:44 AM
    FOForceOfLuck
    $16.22

    Bought 40.55 Sharper Esport for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.4

  • 08:43 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:43 AM
    ATatmatm
    $20.00

    Bought 50 Sharper Esport for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.4

  • 08:43 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

  • 08:43 AM
    MAMarkomaterazzi
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 DetonatioN FocusMe for Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In at 0.61

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

D01
0xD016…3317
Event PnL
+$3.32
Volume
$6,006.00
Positions
Sharper Esport
CF2
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$127.94
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
DetonatioN FocusMe
SI3
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$356.14
Volume
$4,909.26
Positions
Sharper EsportSharper Esport
OW4
owlgorithm-beta
Event PnL
+$1.90
Volume
$3,791.78
Positions
DetonatioN FocusMeSharper EsportOver
FO5
forget4
Event PnL
-$5.60
Volume
$3,334.08
Positions
Sharper Esport
JI6
Jimmyman132
Event PnL
-$2.35
Volume
$3,210.41
Positions
DetonatioN FocusMeDetonatioN FocusMe
GR7
gregbeast
Event PnL
-$525.29
Volume
$2,299.93
Positions
DetonatioN FocusMe
ON8
oneheadedtiger
Event PnL
+$712.09
Volume
$2,082.64
Positions
DetonatioN FocusMeDetonatioN FocusMe

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,005%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $76.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始