
The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps
核心摘要
根據「The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Yes 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;No 以 5,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Yes (5,000%):Yes 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- No (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,No 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yes | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | No | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team wins any completed game after the opposing team has spawned mega creeps at The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward this market, including the group stage, playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count, even if mega creeps spawned during them. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.
If at least one qualifying comeback occurs in any completed game at the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon the conclusion of that game being confirmed by the resolution sources. If the tournament concludes without any qualifying comeback, this market will resolve to "No".
If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final game data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game barracks and winner data for The International 2026 event. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
常見問題
目前市場對「The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Yes 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 No(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
