
Team With the Shallowest Hero Pool at EWC 2026
核心摘要
根據「Team With the Shallowest Hero Pool at EWC 2026」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Team Spirit 以壓倒性的 2,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;1w 以 2,550% 位居第二,PVISION 以 2,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Team Spirit (2,550%):Team Spirit 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 2,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- 1w (2,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,1w 保持著 2,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,550¢。
- PVISION (2,550%):以 2,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 PVISION 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Aurora Gaming (2,550%)、Xtreme Gaming (2,550%),以及 Team Yandex (2,550%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Team Falcons 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Spirit | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 2 | 1w | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 3 | PVISION | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 4 | Aurora Gaming | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 5 | Xtreme Gaming | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 6 | Team Yandex | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 7 | Team Falcons | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 8 | Team Liquid | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 9 | BB Team | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 10 | MOUZ | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 11 | PTime | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 12 | OG | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 13 | Virtus.pro | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 14 | LGD Gaming | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 15 | Rune Eaters | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 16 | Level UP | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 17 | Poor Rangers | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 18 | L1 TEAM | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 19 | IC x Insanity | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 20 | Vici Gaming | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 21 | REKONIX | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 22 | GamerLegion | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 23 | Team Nemesis | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 24 | Nigma Galaxy | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to the team that uses the least unique heroes across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament with a minimum of 5 completed games, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France.
A team's "hero pool" is the set of distinct heroes that team drafts and plays across all of its completed official games at EWC 2026. A hero counts once toward a team's pool no matter how many times that team picks it, and regardless of which player on the team plays it.
Only completed official games count (group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, and playoffs). Heroes picked in a game that is remade or not completed do not count from that game, but count if picked by the team in any other completed game.
Bans are not counted; only heroes drafted and played count toward a team's pool.
This market resolves to the team with the least unique heroes played at the conclusion of the tournament with 5 or more completed games. If two or more teams are tied for the least unique heroes, the market resolves to the tied team that played the more number of total games at the tournament. If teams remain tied on both unique heroes and total games played, the market resolves to the tied team with the higher final tournament placement. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the team that comes first alphabetically.
If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are not determined within that timeframe, this market will also resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Datdota (https://www.datdota.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「Team With the Shallowest Hero Pool at EWC 2026」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Team Spirit 以 2,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1w(2,550%),以及 PVISION(2,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
