St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

$98.1K Vol
2026年7月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Chicago Cubs 53.5%
St. Louis Cardinals 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 8,200% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 7,400% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 以 6,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $98.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,200%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,200¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $29 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (7,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 7,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,400¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,150%):以 6,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 NRFI (5,700%)、O/U 10.5 (5,050%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.58200.0%$298200¢-8100¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
4NRFI5700.0%$1.2K5700¢-5600¢
5O/U 10.55050.0%$4625050¢-4950¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 5.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs4650.0%$96.3K4650¢-4550¢
8Spread -1.54050.0%$2284050¢-3950¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 6.53900.0%$73900¢-3800¢
10Spread -1.53650.0%$2283650¢-3550¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -2.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢
15Extra Innings850.0%850¢-750¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 3 at 4:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 3, 2026

  • 08:28 AM
    OLOlma
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 at 0.51

  • 08:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.03

    Bought 23.16 Chicago Cubs for Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.39

  • 08:22 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 at 0.51

  • 08:22 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Over for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 at 0.5

  • 08:20 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.03

    Bought 23.16 Chicago Cubs for Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.39

  • 08:15 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $13.35

    Bought 34.24 Chicago Cubs for Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.39

  • 08:12 AM
    SOSocenosen
    $1.17

    Bought 1.799847 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.65

  • 08:05 AM
    GOGoticaria3
    $1.23

    Bought 1.892305 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.65

  • 08:05 AM
    ROrohail2002
    $15.00

    Bought 27.777776 Chicago Cubs for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.54

  • 08:00 AM
    NInidegdd
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 St. Louis Cardinals for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.47

  • 07:58 AM
    MIMidnightc0w
    $1.15

    Bought 1.769228 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.65

  • 07:52 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $9.87

    Bought 21 St. Louis Cardinals for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$16,749.39
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
+$373.91
Volume
$14,955.77
Positions
Chicago Cubs
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$17.26
Volume
$1,150.76
Positions
Chicago Cubs
PU4
purplegatto
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$810.07
Positions
Chicago Cubs
C25
0xc249…2835
Event PnL
+$0.02
Volume
$602.00
Positions
Chicago Cubs
LA6
lasttests
Event PnL
-$0.94
Volume
$475.34
Positions
Chicago Cubs
SC7
scottvan2
Event PnL
-$6.75
Volume
$450.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
A38
0xA3c2…3278
Event PnL
+$0.42
Volume
$234.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals

常見問題

目前市場對「St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 8,200% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(7,400%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5(6,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $98.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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