New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

$616.7K Vol
2026年8月6日
Active
機率趨勢
New York Yankees 50.6%
Chicago White Sox 49.4%

核心摘要

根據「New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox 以 6,210% 位居第二,O/U 9.5 以 5,650% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $616.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 8.5 (9,995%):O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $8.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox (6,210%):作為最可行的替代選項,New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox 保持著 6,210% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,210¢。
  • O/U 9.5 (5,650%):以 5,650% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 10.5 (5,450%)、Extra Innings (5,000%),以及 Spread -5.5 (4,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 8.59995.0%$8.8K9995¢-9895¢
2New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox6210.0%$632.1K6210¢-6110¢
3O/U 9.55650.0%$10.9K5650¢-5550¢
4O/U 10.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
5Extra Innings5000.0%$1035000¢-4900¢
6Spread -5.54995.0%4995¢-4895¢
7Spread -3.53100.0%$2153100¢-3000¢
8O/U 11.51950.0%$111950¢-1850¢
9Spread -4.51600.0%$1.2K1600¢-1500¢
10O/U 12.51550.0%$31550¢-1450¢
11Spread -1.5750.0%$3.4K750¢-650¢
12Spread -1.5550.0%$3.4K550¢-450¢
13Spread -2.5475.0%$8.4K475¢-375¢
14Spread -2.5250.0%$8.4K250¢-150¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 29, 2026

  • 07:54 PM
    2C2cornot2c
    $100.00

    Bought 169.491524 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:53 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.64

    Sold 4.01 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.41

  • 07:50 PM
    3M3monthgoal
    $177.00

    Bought 300 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:40 PM
    2D2Dro
    $100.80

    Bought 240 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:37 PM
    DAdamnedspot
    $2.00

    Bought 4.761903 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:34 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $1.77

    Sold 4.31 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.41

  • 07:22 PM
    TITimPenis
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949151 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:21 PM
    TITimPenis
    $75.00

    Bought 127.118643 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:20 PM
    THtheOwlAndRake
    $18.90

    Bought 45 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 07:03 PM
    0X0x6D076E16Fe4687f124a3d1D7c664fb6953B233D4-1776829624329
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 06:40 PM
    JAjaGZer
    $15.00

    Bought 25.423726 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 06:29 PM
    0X0x8605679A98a2C0730ff4f8aFc282a351601A18a1-1770361502280
    $2.02

    Bought 4.809522 Chicago White Sox for New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$46,823.65
Volume
$333,330.76
Positions
New York YankeesNew York Yankees
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$48,790.26
Volume
$150,123.86
Positions
Chicago White Sox
SD3
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$250.00
Volume
$50,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$17,994.85
Volume
$44,547.25
Positions
Chicago White SoxNew York YankeesNew York Yankees+3
KK5
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$2,849.41
Volume
$31,485.24
Positions
Chicago White Sox
TH6
THEdirkdiggler
Event PnL
-$14,276.57
Volume
$27,993.27
Positions
Under
4F7
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$4,071.47
Volume
$21,682.33
Positions
Chicago White SoxNew York YankeesChicago White Sox+3
CH8
chinamax
Event PnL
-$1,212.24
Volume
$17,915.89
Positions
New York Yankees

常見問題

目前市場對「New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox(6,210%),以及 O/U 9.5(5,650%)。該市場總成交量已達 $616.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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