
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props
核心摘要
根據「Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以壓倒性的 5,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 以 4,350% 位居第二,Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 以 4,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $154,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,350%):Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $27 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (4,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 保持著 4,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,350¢。
- Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (4,150%):以 4,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,600%)、Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,500%),以及 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (2,800%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 5350.0% | $27 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 2 | Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 3 | Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 4150.0% | $83 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 4 | Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 5 | Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 6 | Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 7 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1050.0% | $5 | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 8 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 10 | Zach Neto: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 11 | Isaac Collins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 12 | Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 13 | Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 14 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 15 | Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 16 | Vaughn Grissom: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 17 | Nolan Schanuel: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 405.0% | — | 405¢ | -305¢ |
| 18 | Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 19 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 285.0% | — | 285¢ | -185¢ |
| 20 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 190.0% | — | 190¢ | -90¢ |
| 21 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 190.0% | — | 190¢ | -90¢ |
| 22 | Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 175.0% | — | 175¢ | -75¢ |
| 23 | Zach Neto: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 160.0% | — | 160¢ | -60¢ |
| 24 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 140.0% | — | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 25 | Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 135.0% | — | 135¢ | -35¢ |
| 26 | Isaac Collins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 120.0% | — | 120¢ | -20¢ |
| 27 | Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 55.0% | $10 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 28 | Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 40.0% | $10 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 29 | Vaughn Grissom: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 40.0% | $10 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 30 | Nolan Schanuel: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 30.0% | $10 | 30¢ | 70¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 14 at 9:38 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 14, 2026
- 07:29 AMUSUseraxe$3.00
Sold 5 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.6
- 07:16 AMANAntiVaxxer$3.05
Bought 5 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.61
- 07:16 AMDRDriftCapital$4.72
Bought 7.74 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.61
- 07:16 AM12123zvzxcvzxcv$15.47
Bought 40.7 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.38
- 07:14 AM12123zvzxcvzxcv$4.73
Bought 9.28 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.51
- 06:24 AMLOlolsun$4.88
Bought 12.19 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.4
- 06:24 AM0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242$4.88
Bought 12.19 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.4
- 06:02 AM0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222$1.00
Bought 4.761903 Over for Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.21
- 05:20 AMLOlolsun$5.00
Bought 8.77 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.57
- 05:20 AM0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242$5.00
Bought 8.77 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.57
- 04:36 AM0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99
- 04:36 AM0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99
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常見問題
目前市場對「Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以 5,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5(4,350%),以及 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5(4,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $154,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
