LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffs

2026年8月20日
Active
機率趨勢
UCAM Esports Club 50.0%
Team Heretics Academy 50.0%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,Game 3 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (5,000%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Game 3 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 3 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 4 Winner (5,000%)、Match Winner (5,000%),以及 O/U 3.5 Games (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 4.5 Games 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Game 3 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Game 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Match Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6O/U 3.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7O/U 4.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Game Handicap: UCAM (-2.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between UCAM Esports Club and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against Team Heretics Academy.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against UCAM Esports Club.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(5,000%),以及 Game 3 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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