
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
核心摘要
根據「LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 6,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 6,550% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $88.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) (6,650%):Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $22.2K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%):以 6,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,400%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 6650.0% | $22.2K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5150.0% | $80 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 2850.0% | $3.4K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Game 1 Winner | 1850.0% | $3.0K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 24 | Game 2 Winner | 1850.0% | $3.0K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 29 | Match Winner | 1150.0% | $57.1K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win the match against G2 Esports.
This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against SK Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 2, 2026
- 08:03 AM——$2.92
Bought 3.356315 G2 Esports for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.87
- 08:03 AMSUsuntori$9.52
Bought 68 SK Gaming for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.14
- 08:02 AMFUFulea$3.00
Bought 21.42857 SK Gaming for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.14
- 08:01 AMYUyurimita$16.53
Bought 19 G2 Esports for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.87
- 07:54 AMDRdrunkdegenerate$48.53
Bought 73.53 G2 Esports for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.66
- 07:10 AMDEDepreLeolienne$155.00
Bought 234.848482 G2 Esports for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.66
- 07:02 AM0X0x1389d7ce072826695Fd9aadfAcA6105F42416C5a-1767465040150$2.00
Bought 2.298846 G2 Esports for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.87
- 06:57 AMMAmabmab$78.86
Bought 225.314284 SK Gaming for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.35
- 06:52 AMCICip106$9.57
Bought 11 G2 Esports for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.87
- 06:49 AMBAbathinggoldfish17$7.08
Bought 22.125 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.32
- 06:48 AMBAbathinggoldfish17$6.77
Bought 19.342856 SK Gaming for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) at 0.35
- 06:41 AMCICip106$9.57
Bought 11 G2 Esports for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.87
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) 以 6,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(6,550%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $88.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
