LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$97.5K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Heretics 65.5%
Shifters 34.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Odd/Even Total Kills 以壓倒性的 5,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Odd/Even Total Kills 以 5,100% 位居第二,Odd/Even Total Kills 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $97.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,250%):Odd/Even Total Kills 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%):作為最可行的替代選項,Odd/Even Total Kills 保持著 5,100% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,100¢。
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Odd/Even Total Kills 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Odd/Even Total Kills5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 2.5 Games4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20Game 1 Winner3850.0%$253850¢-3750¢
21Game 2 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
22Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)3850.0%$34.1K3850¢-3750¢
23Match Winner3450.0%$63.4K3450¢-3350¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Shifters.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:28 AM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $20.00

    Bought 31.25 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 09:28 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $12.80

    Bought 20 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 08:15 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $20.00

    Bought 54.054053 Team Heretics for Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $20.00

    Bought 31.25 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 07:55 AM
    DRDrEldoradon
    $18.90

    Bought 30 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.63

  • 07:27 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $12.60

    Bought 20 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.63

  • 07:15 AM
    SIsizif
    $3.24

    Bought 5.0625 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 07:12 AM
    OGoG8hBhUFYA4208dl
    $4.99

    Bought 7.796875 Team Heretics for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.64

  • 05:50 AM
    JAjadespy2
    $6.97

    Bought 18.342104 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.38

  • 02:48 AM
    LELeoLau
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.37

Aug 24, 2026

  • 10:40 PM
    SAsanechca
    $2.96

    Bought 8 Shifters for LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.37

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$546.64
Volume
$59,591.71
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics
MA2
MagicalJourney
Event PnL
-$325.33
Volume
$29,999.99
Positions
ShiftersShifters
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$209.30
Volume
$16,725.90
Positions
ShiftersShifters
JI4
jizzbucket57
Event PnL
-$365.00
Volume
$14,600.00
Positions
ShiftersShifters
GO5
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$150.01
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Shifters
AR6
artulliik
Event PnL
+$113.20
Volume
$4,528.00
Positions
Team Heretics
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$38.71
Volume
$2,580.96
Positions
Shifters
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$11.97
Volume
$2,502.57
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Odd/Even Total Kills 以 5,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Odd/Even Total Kills(5,100%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $97.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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