LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$872.5K Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Shopify Rebellion 100.0%
Sentinels 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,995% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $872.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,First Blood in Game 2? 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5.7K9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$1159995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$13.5K9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$1119995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Game 2 Winner5.0%$235.3K95¢
19Match Winner5.0%$454.9K95¢
20Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)5.0%$5.9K95¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5.0%$595¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?5.0%$1095¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?5.0%$1095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Sentinels.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.77

    Bought 3.160713 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 08:01 PM
    0X0x8F46c66C877CbfD56f8F2Fe14eB9E6043d6ec530-1785520987104
    $10.00

    Bought 13.333332 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:48 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $27.32

    Bought 36.426664 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:46 PM
    KUkunkun168
    $208.00

    Bought 800 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:42 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846152 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:42 PM
    $46.49

    Bought 178.807691 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:41 PM
    JSJS2525
    $50.00

    Bought 66.666664 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:34 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785713 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 07:34 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571427 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 07:33 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 07:32 PM
    PApachamanca
    $40.00

    Bought 153.85 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:30 PM
    LULunlim
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Sentinels for Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MI1
MissingJoy
Event PnL
+$10,912.12
Volume
$34,489.19
Positions
SentinelsShopify Rebellion
TE2
TeGeeLP
Event PnL
-$17,023.23
Volume
$27,238.30
Positions
Sentinels
BA3
backback
Event PnL
+$275.60
Volume
$24,228.68
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
CH4
CHANGEDEVERYTHING
Event PnL
+$3,729.25
Volume
$22,483.23
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$3,725.54
Volume
$21,088.60
Positions
SentinelsShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
TH6
TheMafiaa
Event PnL
+$3,780.55
Volume
$20,019.77
Positions
SentinelsShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
EZ7
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
VE8
verifly
Event PnL
-$4,603.21
Volume
$18,198.60
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 First Blood in Game 2?(9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $872.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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