LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$130.2K Vol
2026年8月1日
Active
機率趨勢
BNK FEARX 54.5%
Nongshim Red Force 45.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 7,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,550% 位居第二,Any Player Penta Kill 以 5,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $130.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,700%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 7,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,550¢。
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%):以 5,200% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Penta Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,150%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,150%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7700.0%7700¢-7600¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$3974950¢-4850¢
11Game 2 Winner4550.0%$6284550¢-4450¢
12Match Winner4550.0%$80.0K4550¢-4450¢
13Game 1 Winner4450.0%$6.2K4450¢-4350¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
15Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)3150.0%$43.1K3150¢-3050¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
18Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
19Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1350.0%1350¢-1250¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1350.0%1350¢-1250¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.75

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:59 PM
    TITIppi88k
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:54 PM
    0X0xa12194fbab808b7aFdFA1ba1c3e3f0888f1E28C6-1781281388896
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:50 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $142.85

    Bought 310.543477 Nongshim Red Force for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.46

  • 07:37 PM
    LOlolbettor
    $220.00

    Bought 400 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:31 PM
    NAnaaugypp8v5r
    $35.00

    Bought 63.636362 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:30 PM
    HIHiberdating
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 07:17 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $34.41

    Bought 49.869564 Nongshim Red Force for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) at 0.69

  • 07:10 PM
    XBxBizzy
    $7.00

    Bought 12.727271 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:58 PM
    THthetoci
    $30.00

    Bought 54.545453 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:46 PM
    MEMeji41
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

  • 06:43 PM
    WAwall3r
    $5.01

    Bought 9.1 BNK FEARX for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

EL1
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$164.45
Volume
$51,481.34
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARXBNK FEARX
1M2
1moretimetowin
Event PnL
-$136.18
Volume
$27,235.20
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
SC3
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
-$108.67
Volume
$21,739.13
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
BU4
bubanana
Event PnL
-$600.20
Volume
$18,640.00
Positions
BNK FEARXNongshim Red Force
TA5
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$84.32
Volume
$16,863.50
Positions
BNK FEARX
EN6
entropytime
Event PnL
+$4.05
Volume
$11,999.89
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
BE7
berbisminsk
Event PnL
-$50.37
Volume
$10,074.92
Positions
Nongshim Red Force
DR8
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$531.16
Volume
$9,657.44
Positions
Nongshim Red Force

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,550%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill(5,200%)。該市場總成交量已達 $130.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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