LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

$461.7K Vol
2026年8月14日
Active
機率趨勢
CTBC Flying Oyster 100.0%
MVK Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $461.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $69.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 3.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%),以及 First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$69.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$120.1K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$3119995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$159950¢-9850¢
6First Blood in Game 1?9950.0%$1199950¢-9850¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%$159050¢-8950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%$105050¢-4950¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32First Blood in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
33Match Winner4700.0%$466.4K4700¢-4600¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%$5950¢-850¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%$10950¢-850¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$5950¢-850¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%$5950¢-850¢
38Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$5950¢-850¢
39First Blood in Game 2?950.0%$15950¢-850¢
40Game Handicap: MVK (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)45.0%$17645¢55¢
41Game 3 Winner5.0%$137.2K95¢
42Game 4 Winner5.0%$74.2K95¢
43Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)5.0%$1.0K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Seeding match between MVK Esports and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster.

This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against MVK Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:42 AM
    JEJeff870904
    $5.05

    Bought 12.625 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.4

  • 08:37 AM
    GOgo4it
    $25.05

    Bought 47.264148 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner at 0.53

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0x1e0D9Ff26E57007e9EA8bC69c145130aF34D6326-1781850896424
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:35 AM
    ANandylidi
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040815 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 08:34 AM
    ANandylidi
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 CTBC Flying Oyster for Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:33 AM
    0X0x91bc7B692a7087f7Cf26e597714a3430e4B028D6-1774621250910
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923075 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:32 AM
    33338383833
    $6.24

    Bought 12 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:31 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $162.26

    Bought 312.03846 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:29 AM
    33338383833
    $5.88

    Bought 12 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.49

  • 08:28 AM
    RIriful
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:26 AM
    33338383833
    $5.20

    Bought 10 MVK Esports for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.52

  • 08:23 AM
    33338383833
    $5.39

    Bought 11 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

-M1
-Malfunction
Event PnL
+$161.88
Volume
$16,471.30
Positions
MVK Esports
MP2
mpyh
Event PnL
-$1,807.65
Volume
$14,000.76
Positions
CTBC Flying Oyster
EZ3
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$6.17
Volume
$12,293.07
Positions
MVK EsportsMVK Esports
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$4,942.19
Volume
$10,901.27
Positions
MVK Esports
445
0x4421…5987
Event PnL
-$100.20
Volume
$10,415.96
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying Oyster
JO6
johnbaster
Event PnL
+$3,538.36
Volume
$10,188.57
Positions
MVK EsportsMVK EsportsCTBC Flying Oyster
367
36oldtiger
Event PnL
-$14.19
Volume
$9,600.00
Positions
MVK EsportsCTBC Flying Oyster
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$396.99
Volume
$8,629.67
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying Oyster+1

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $461.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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