LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

$151K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Karmine Corp Blue 100.0%
Ici Japon Corp. Esport 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $151K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $55.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Match Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5) (9,995%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (7,450%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$55.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$41.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$40.7K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)9995.0%$13.1K9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$60795¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp Blue and Ici Japon Corp. Esport in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Ici Japon Corp. Esport.

This market will resolve to "Ici Japon Corp. Esport" if Ici Japon Corp. Esport win the match against Karmine Corp Blue.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$111.07
Volume
$23,836.00
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. EsportIci Japon Corp. Esport
SU2
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$4,251.47
Volume
$11,499.95
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$6,356.02
Volume
$10,092.16
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
FU4
Future-Tarot-Trader
Event PnL
+$293.90
Volume
$6,107.26
Positions
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue
XC5
Xc76TH39YCPNGR23T4
Event PnL
-$30.08
Volume
$6,017.94
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. Esport
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$958.07
Volume
$5,759.53
Positions
Ici Japon Corp. EsportIci Japon Corp. Esport
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$18.64
Volume
$5,528.07
Positions
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue
EX8
Excession6
Event PnL
+$27.50
Volume
$5,499.96
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 Match Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $151K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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