LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

$63.1K Vol
2026年8月14日
Active
機率趨勢
LGD Gaming 61.5%
EDward Gaming 38.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 7,900% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,800% 位居第二,Any Player Penta Kill 以 5,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $63.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,900%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,900¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 7,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,800¢。
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,500%):以 5,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Penta Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,300%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7900.0%7900¢-7800¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7800.0%7800¢-7700¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$3855000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$3855000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%$3854950¢-4850¢
10First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
11First Blood in Game 2?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
12O/U 2.5 Games4650.0%$64650¢-4550¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4600.0%$4.0K4600¢-4500¢
15Game 1 Winner4050.0%$1094050¢-3950¢
16Game 2 Winner4050.0%$604050¢-3950¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
18Match Winner3850.0%$58.5K3850¢-3750¢
19Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)3550.0%$1.0K3550¢-3450¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
24Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1500.0%1500¢-1400¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1300.0%1300¢-1200¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors800.0%800¢-700¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors750.0%750¢-650¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 13, 2026

  • 09:04 PM
    0X0xbe04De83A935c27152BaB16ABA6aB3440e4F1481-1769461699745
    $197.00

    Bought 447.727271 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.44

  • 09:01 PM
    AMam100
    $11.78

    Bought 21.04 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 09:00 PM
    SVsveta.pellervo
    $2.79

    Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55

  • 09:00 PM
    SVsveta.pellervo
    $2.79

    Sold 5.08 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.55

  • 09:00 PM
    0X0xB4919D47Eb75445CADD5003eD68FB8BAb9Db4400-1784372055977
    $9.23

    Sold 21.46 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.43

  • 08:40 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DRDriftCapital
    $6.00

    Bought 10.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DRDriftCapital
    $7.71

    Bought 13.52 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    RARadioFreeZerg
    $7.55

    Bought 13.24 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    RARadioFreeZerg
    $5.87

    Bought 10.3 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:40 PM
    DEdemo258
    $13.10

    Bought 31.2 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.42

  • 08:38 PM
    HOhoddlerr
    $19.53

    Bought 21.461533 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.91

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ST1
steevenseakael
Event PnL
-$285.00
Volume
$19,000.00
Positions
EDward Gaming
NE2
NemecGhudini
Event PnL
+$213.75
Volume
$14,250.00
Positions
LGD Gaming
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$67.61
Volume
$13,499.97
Positions
LGD Gaming
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
EDward Gaming
AM5
am100
Event PnL
-$48.32
Volume
$6,153.40
Positions
EDward GamingUnder
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$43.38
Volume
$4,504.97
Positions
UnderEDward Gaming
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
-$20.05
Volume
$4,009.63
Positions
EDward Gaming
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$9.99
Volume
$3,187.79
Positions
LGD Gaming

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,900% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,800%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill(5,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $63.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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