LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

$491.4K Vol
2026年8月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Kiwoom DRX Challengers 100.0%
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $491.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $186.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Match Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) (9,995%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$186.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$209.1K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$86.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)9995.0%$4.2K9995¢-9895¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9000.0%$1389000¢-8900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%$29000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1385000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$1025000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%$1381000¢-900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%$11000¢-900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%$21000¢-900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%$1021000¢-900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%$11000¢-900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$102950¢-850¢
23O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$3.9K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers.

This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 17, 2026

  • 08:35 AM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.61

  • 08:27 AM
    FZFzzszz
    $170.40

    Bought 262.153845 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 08:26 AM
    0X0x2d74c7aC49557768F285815120b525cBe68696b8-1782630629020
    $30.00

    Bought 46.153845 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 08:17 AM
    JSjsr.rinoo
    $8.00

    Bought 12.307691 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 08:16 AM
    NOnotsosharp
    $288.17

    Bought 443.33846 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 08:14 AM
    JSjsr.rinoo
    $20.00

    Bought 30.769228 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.04

    Bought 2.888887 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.36

  • 08:13 AM
    HOholyXDD
    $303.00

    Bought 841.666665 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.36

  • 07:50 AM
    MAMakmurrow
    $3.21

    Bought 4.93846 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group at 0.65

  • 07:36 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers for Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:32 AM
    0X0x55f9Ca3062A085b49e89c58FFE8F2F51b264b030-1782108144072
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers for Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:29 AM
    JSjs10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Even for Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$7,425.17
Volume
$44,285.61
Positions
Kiwoom DRX ChallengersKiwoom DRX Challengers
BA2
backback
Event PnL
+$18.33
Volume
$34,197.95
Positions
Kiwoom DRX Challengers
SU3
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$4,719.86
Volume
$33,599.98
Positions
Kiwoom DRX ChallengersHanwha Life Esports Challengers
CF4
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$4,352.84
Volume
$20,000.26
Positions
Kiwoom DRX ChallengersHanwha Life Esports Challengers
3F5
0x3f47…0303
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$4,550.85
Volume
$12,357.04
Positions
Kiwoom DRX ChallengersKiwoom DRX ChallengersHanwha Life Esports Challengers
CH7
ChonkyChocolateCake
Event PnL
-$755.79
Volume
$11,978.45
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
LZ8
lzh1
Event PnL
-$2,250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 Match Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $491.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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