LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$50.6K Vol
2026年8月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Kiwoom DRX 69.5%
DN SOOPers 30.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以壓倒性的 7,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 7,600% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 6,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $50.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (7,600%):Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (7,600%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持著 7,600% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,600¢。
  • Match Winner (6,950%):以 6,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 1 Winner (6,350%)、Game 2 Winner (6,250%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?7600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?7600.0%$507600¢-7500¢
3Match Winner6950.0%$47.1K6950¢-6850¢
4Game 1 Winner6350.0%$4176350¢-6250¢
5Game 2 Winner6250.0%$406250¢-6150¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
28O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$1074550¢-4450¢
29Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)4150.0%$2.9K4150¢-4050¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against DN SOOPers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against Kiwoom DRX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 5, 2026

  • 07:35 AM
    33338383833
    $5.36

    Bought 8 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

  • 04:33 AM
    $0.21

    Sold 0.37 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 04:33 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.51515 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

  • 04:01 AM
    IKikoow
    $18.86

    Sold 29.02 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.65

  • 01:51 AM
    COcorsariov2
    $2.73

    Bought 4.07 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

Aug 4, 2026

  • 06:12 PM
    TITimPenis
    $4.49

    Bought 13.2 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.34

  • 03:31 PM
    SSsssssmm
    $6.60

    Bought 10 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.66

  • 02:17 PM
    TWtwentypercentonly
    $68.00

    Bought 200 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.34

  • 10:08 AM
    PIPIPIZIN
    $604.35

    Bought 1726.714284 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.35

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0xC8e400e2ff07bf2d6c945087003912Bb7A2F1f1F-1765373721201
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.69

  • 06:02 AM
    HAhavoc804
    $4.26

    Sold 6.36 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

  • 05:57 AM
    $4.67

    Sold 6.97 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$140.00
Volume
$28,000.00
Positions
DN SOOPers
AT2
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$73.42
Volume
$14,984.01
Positions
Kiwoom DRX
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$44.10
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Kiwoom DRX
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$18.54
Volume
$7,376.76
Positions
Kiwoom DRXKiwoom DRX
MU5
musndk
Event PnL
-$8.54
Volume
$2,575.00
Positions
Kiwoom DRXKiwoom DRX
KU6
kunkun168
Event PnL
-$10.80
Volume
$2,160.45
Positions
DN SOOPers
RO7
roro.cypher
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$1,999.99
Positions
DN SOOPers
PI8
PIPIZIN
Event PnL
-$56.08
Volume
$1,726.71
Positions
DN SOOPers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 7,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(7,600%),以及 Match Winner(6,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $50.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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