LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

$77.4K Vol
2026年8月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Dplus KIA Challengers 58.5%
KT Rolster Challengers 41.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 5,850% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 5,550% 位居第二,Game 1 Winner 以 5,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $77.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (5,850%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,850¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $70.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (5,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 5,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,550¢。
  • Game 1 Winner (5,450%):以 5,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%)、O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner5850.0%$70.3K5850¢-5750¢
2Game 2 Winner5550.0%$2025550¢-5450¢
3Game 1 Winner5450.0%$4.7K5450¢-5350¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%$125100¢-5000¢
5O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%$2.9K5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
20Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)3250.0%$7293250¢-3150¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
22Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢
23Any Player Penta Kill800.0%800¢-700¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:30 PM
    QOqomroca
    $4.22

    Bought 7.152541 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:30 PM
    SHShaolinTEA
    $24.00

    Bought 57.142856 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $13.81

    Bought 23.406778 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:26 PM
    QOqomroca
    $42.79

    Bought 72.525421 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.59

  • 08:26 PM
    FOFogCaster
    $142.62

    Sold 245.9 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.58

  • 08:20 PM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $2.11

    Bought 5.023808 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $3.62

    Bought 8.619046 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    FOFollower2
    $2.60

    Bought 6.341462 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    $12.80

    Bought 31.21 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    $4.69

    Bought 11.166665 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.42

  • 08:20 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 0.41

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

IA1
Iamnobody.Nobody
Event PnL
+$72.39
Volume
$16,536.66
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
TH2
thecomplicatedguy
Event PnL
-$71.86
Volume
$14,375.74
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
CH3
ChonkyChocolateCake
Event PnL
+$6.02
Volume
$11,241.25
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
LZ4
lzh1
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
FO5
forget4
Event PnL
+$17.78
Volume
$3,999.94
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$16.31
Volume
$3,140.25
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
TE7
Terry.CHEN
Event PnL
-$14.82
Volume
$2,965.09
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
AM8
am100
Event PnL
+$13.12
Volume
$2,623.60
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 5,850% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(5,550%),以及 Game 1 Winner(5,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $77.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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