LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$56.4K Vol
2026年8月22日
Active
機率趨勢
Gen.G 66.5%
Dplus KIA 33.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 7,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,050% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 以 5,850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $56.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 7,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,050¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,850%):以 5,850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (5,550%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5850.0%$1365850¢-5750¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5550.0%$1335550¢-5450¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$684750¢-4650¢
15First Blood in Game 2?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4200.0%$1174200¢-4100¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4000.0%$2.6K4000¢-3900¢
18Game 1 Winner3950.0%$1513950¢-3850¢
19Game 2 Winner3850.0%$603850¢-3750¢
20Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)3850.0%$7.0K3850¢-3750¢
21Match Winner3350.0%$46.1K3350¢-3250¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Gen.G.

This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Dplus KIA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 21, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    AMam100
    $474.93

    Bought 804.96 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 09:01 PM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $14.33

    Bought 23.491802 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $450.76

    Bought 764 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 08:35 PM
    ALalternategiraffe
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692306 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 08:23 PM
    25254321758
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 08:23 PM
    25254321758
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner at 0.4

  • 08:22 PM
    LALaziFTW
    $4.15

    Bought 6.39 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:22 PM
    0X0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228
    $568.61

    Sold 874.78 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $10.47

    Bought 15.863635 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.66

  • 08:05 PM
    0X0x7218c268CE3D59a4df02faE0F3f2f7ffd21DEa41-1782193159069
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Dplus KIA for Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.66

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

161
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$466.46
Volume
$35,273.56
Positions
Gen.G
KI2
KingOfEsports
Event PnL
+$6.59
Volume
$15,977.04
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIA
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Dplus KIA
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$107.41
Volume
$6,896.50
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIA
DA5
dad168168
Event PnL
+$18.97
Volume
$3,793.02
Positions
Gen.G
L06
l0wkirkenuinely
Event PnL
-$18.00
Volume
$3,600.00
Positions
Dplus KIA
JU7
juanuski235
Event PnL
+$0.30
Volume
$2,060.00
Positions
Gen.G
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$3.78
Volume
$1,697.08
Positions
Under

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,050%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(5,850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $56.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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