LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$102.8K Vol
2026年8月10日
Active
機率趨勢
LYON 90.5%
Dignitas 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 6,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 6,150% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 5,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $102.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) (6,950%):Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $39.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持著 6,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,150¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,950%):以 5,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 First Blood in Game 1? (5,200%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,150%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)6950.0%$39.3K6950¢-6850¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6150.0%$1006150¢-6050¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5950.0%$945950¢-5850¢
4First Blood in Game 1?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$44950¢-4850¢
22First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$1714650¢-4550¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3600.0%$63600¢-3500¢
26O/U 2.5 Games2850.0%$2.4K2850¢-2750¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
29Game 1 Winner1850.0%$1.9K1850¢-1750¢
30Game 2 Winner1850.0%$3701850¢-1750¢
31Match Winner950.0%$72.2K950¢-850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Dignitas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 9, 2026

  • 08:02 AM
    AOaodueh
    $1.05

    Bought 5.26 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner at 0.2

  • 08:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $4.50

    Bought 5 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 07:48 AM
    $6.68

    Bought 21.548386 Dignitas for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:05 AM
    0X0x9BD22D48c7a353d2bF888226b2b74ba0790cB613-1778979967613
    $100.00

    Bought 111.11111 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 Winner at 0.82

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner at 0.83

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 LYON for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.9

  • 06:05 AM
    QUquavoo
    $2.86

    Bought 26 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:05 AM
    QUquavoo
    $7.15

    Bought 65 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:04 AM
    QUquavoo
    $3.96

    Bought 36 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:00 AM
    QUquavoo
    $53.46

    Bought 486 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

  • 06:00 AM
    QUquavoo
    $3.96

    Bought 36 Dignitas for LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.11

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

RE1
retroactivesource
Event PnL
-$170.60
Volume
$36,649.82
Positions
LYON
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$87.46
Volume
$22,876.18
Positions
LYONDignitasLYON+1
AN3
Anjun
Event PnL
+$111.11
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Dignitas
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
-$125.18
Volume
$16,638.00
Positions
DignitasUnder
AT5
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$132.77
Volume
$8,910.85
Positions
LYON
VI6
vibing123
Event PnL
+$29.40
Volume
$5,999.86
Positions
LYON
AB7
ablacksnicker
Event PnL
-$20.56
Volume
$4,387.00
Positions
DignitasLYON
CI8
cigarettes
Event PnL
+$19.00
Volume
$3,800.00
Positions
Dignitas

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) 以 6,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(6,150%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(5,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $102.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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