LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

$445.4K Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
機率趨勢
CTBC Flying Oyster 100.0%
Ground Zero Gaming 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Game 4 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $445.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $133.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 3 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Game 4 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 4 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (9,995%)、O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%),以及 Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5) (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$133.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 3 Winner9995.0%$135.2K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 4 Winner9995.0%$37.7K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$82.6K9995¢-9895¢
5O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.4K9995¢-9895¢
6Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)9995.0%$2.6K9995¢-9895¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
29Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
31Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
32First Blood in Game 3?50.0%50¢50¢
33First Blood in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢
34O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$41495¢
35Game Handicap: CFO (-2.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+2.5)5.0%$91195¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 9, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873013 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.63

  • 08:36 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $7.10

    Bought 18.684209 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.38

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $10.73

    Bought 29 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:35 AM
    ACacir.
    $5.00

    Bought 11.627905 CTBC Flying Oyster for Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:34 AM
    ANandylidi
    $2.00

    Bought 3.448273 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.58

  • 08:31 AM
    SPsportBot2
    $16.79

    Bought 26.234375 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.64

  • 08:26 AM
    MAmaxoveral00
    $158.84

    Bought 418 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.38

  • 08:07 AM
    NOnoob4dezenuts
    $5.85

    Bought 15.810809 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    SDSDCREY43
    $3.89

    Bought 10.513512 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    EJejhz
    $5.85

    Bought 15.810809 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    HEheisenbucks
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    CUcuti
    $320.00

    Bought 500 CTBC Flying Oyster for LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage at 0.64

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AL1
alexdave888
Event PnL
+$1,488.38
Volume
$13,764.00
Positions
Ground Zero Gaming
JO2
johnbaster
Event PnL
+$4,620.99
Volume
$11,826.51
Positions
Ground Zero GamingCTBC Flying OysterGround Zero Gaming
VT3
vtcchampion52
Event PnL
+$189.90
Volume
$10,622.91
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterGround Zero GamingCTBC Flying Oyster+2
SL4
sleepinginthegym4
Event PnL
-$1,871.72
Volume
$8,264.28
Positions
Ground Zero GamingGround Zero Gaming
MR5
Mrrocki
Event PnL
-$1,756.79
Volume
$7,111.34
Positions
Ground Zero Gaming
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$94.24
Volume
$7,011.58
Positions
Ground Zero GamingGround Zero GamingCTBC Flying Oyster+1
OW7
owomvvssuv
Event PnL
+$71.78
Volume
$6,994.40
Positions
CTBC Flying Oyster
BA8
0xBadB…c31a
Event PnL
-$155.03
Volume
$6,513.94
Positions
CTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying OysterCTBC Flying Oyster

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 3 Winner(9,995%),以及 Game 4 Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $445.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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