LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season

$61.9K Vol
2026年8月18日
Active
機率趨勢
DMG Esports 100.0%
Brod n Friends 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $61.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%):Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$1565000¢-4900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$1565000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$1565000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Game 1 Winner5.0%$26.3K95¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$20.0K95¢
21Match Winner5.0%$15.0K95¢
22O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$38795¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between Brod n Friends and DMG Esports in the NLC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Brod n Friends" if Brod n Friends win the match against DMG Esports.

This market will resolve to "DMG Esports" if DMG Esports win the match against Brod n Friends.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 17, 2026

  • 09:04 AM
    QUquavoo
    $3.60

    Bought 9 DMG Esports for LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season at 0.4

  • 01:42 AM
    THTheThighMaster
    $5.06

    Bought 13.684209 DMG Esports for LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season at 0.37

  • 01:36 AM
    HEHereToWinBig
    $9.66

    Bought 14 Brod n Friends for LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season at 0.69

  • 01:12 AM
    0X0x4D1452FAF4dE78B990e6ec7b9D69217c1dF636Fd-1782000833808
    $102.87

    Bought 270.7 DMG Esports for LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season at 0.38

  • 12:44 AM
    0X0x2E680377658456CC5dD05C8a4E0a146013f458f2-1768513818152
    $17.61

    Bought 51.8 DMG Esports for LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season at 0.34

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$1,881.47
Volume
$8,025.11
Positions
DMG EsportsDMG EsportsDMG Esports
IL2
Ileanerd
Event PnL
+$1,015.65
Volume
$3,618.19
Positions
DMG EsportsDMG EsportsDMG Esports
TU3
TurboNarwhal
Event PnL
-$28.50
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Brod n Friends
PI4
PixelWalrus
Event PnL
-$28.50
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Brod n Friends
PO5
poshposh
Event PnL
-$263.47
Volume
$2,623.66
Positions
Brod n FriendsBrod n FriendsBrod n Friends
LO6
looppau
Event PnL
+$1.11
Volume
$2,221.58
Positions
DMG Esports
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$4.47
Volume
$1,929.84
Positions
DMG EsportsBrod n Friends
648
0x6407…6364
Event PnL
-$647.80
Volume
$1,721.85
Positions
Brod n FriendsBrod n FriendsBrod n Friends

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $61.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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