
EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete
核心摘要
根據「EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Colin Simmons 以壓倒性的 9,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Malachi Toney 以 9,200% 位居第二,Dante Moore 以 9,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $375,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Colin Simmons (9,250%):Colin Simmons 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $53 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Malachi Toney (9,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,Malachi Toney 保持著 9,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,200¢。
- Dante Moore (9,150%):以 9,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Dante Moore 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Leonard Moore (9,150%)、Kewan Lacy (9,150%),以及 Julian Sayin (4,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 CJ Carr 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Simmons | 9250.0% | $53 | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | Malachi Toney | 9200.0% | $59 | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 3 | Dante Moore | 9150.0% | $48 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 4 | Leonard Moore | 9150.0% | $49 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 5 | Kewan Lacy | 9150.0% | $56 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 7 | CJ Carr | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 8 | Fernando Mendoza | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 9 | Sam Leavitt | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 10 | LaNorris Sellers | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 11 | Bo Jackson | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 12 | Jeremiah Smith | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 13 | Darian Mensah | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 14 | Trinidad Chambliss | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 15 | Arch Manning | 4000.0% | $10 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 16 | Jyaire Hill | 4000.0% | $10 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of EA Sports College Football 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution.
All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution.
If EA Sports College Football 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by August 31, 2026, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from EA Sports and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 18, 2026
- 02:11 PMRORobbb$18.52
Bought 18.9 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 02:11 PMRORobbb$7.35
Bought 7.5 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
Aug 17, 2026
- 09:32 PMRORobbb$7.91
Bought 8.15 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 09:23 PM0X0x9efaf29B1256F2EE16B16C32eb8ab4aFC76a9332-1766657786265$1.00
Bought 3.125 No for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.32
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.08
Bought 7.3 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$35.78
Bought 36.51 Yes for Will Leonard Moore be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$45.78
Bought 46.71 Yes for Will Malachi Toney be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$35.02
Bought 35.73 Yes for Will Dante Moore be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$13.38
Bought 13.79 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$25.34
Bought 26.12 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.70
Bought 10 No for Will Jyaire Hill be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.77
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.80
Bought 10 No for Will Trinidad Chambliss be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.78
常見問題
目前市場對「EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Colin Simmons 以 9,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Malachi Toney(9,200%),以及 Dante Moore(9,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $375,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
