Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

$4.4K Vol
2026年8月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Yellow Submarine 62.5%
Zero Tenacity 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 6,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 5,850% 位居第二,Game 1 Winner 以 5,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $4.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (6,400%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
  • Game 1 Winner (5,800%):以 5,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Any Player Ultra Kill (5,750%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,400%),以及 Ends in Daytime (5,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Ends in Daytime 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner6400.0%$2.9K6400¢-6300¢
2Game 2 Winner5850.0%$1435850¢-5750¢
3Game 1 Winner5800.0%$3615800¢-5700¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
6Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Any Player Rampage5100.0%$3805100¢-5000¢
11O/U 2.5 Games4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
12Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)3450.0%$4683450¢-3350¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
19Any Player Rampage1700.0%$3801700¢-1600¢
20Any Player Rampage1650.0%$3801650¢-1550¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Yellow Submarine and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Zero Tenacity.

This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:13 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Zero Tenacity for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 08:13 AM
    CEcerp
    $51.88

    Bought 144.1 Yellow Submarine for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 07:58 AM
    RARaidi
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:58 AM
    $1.04

    Bought 1.625 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:58 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.04

    Bought 1.625 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:57 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:57 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $389.20

    Bought 617.77 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 07:27 AM
    PEpekpym
    $2.00

    Bought 5.714284 Yellow Submarine for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 07:25 AM
    DOdougieswim
    $66.50

    Bought 110.833332 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:19 AM
    SMsmiigul
    $2.02

    Bought 5.771427 Yellow Submarine for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 07:19 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Zero Tenacity for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner at 0.4

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BA1
0xBadB…c31a
Event PnL
-$7.00
Volume
$799.98
Positions
Zero TenacityZero Tenacity
BR2
bravewarriorrrrrr
Event PnL
+$1.90
Volume
$734.99
Positions
Zero Tenacity
SB3
sbsigner
Event PnL
-$3.16
Volume
$622.77
Positions
Yellow Submarine
AN4
antec
Event PnL
+$2.95
Volume
$457.22
Positions
Zero TenacityZero TenacityZero Tenacity+1
BO5
boobytracey
Event PnL
-$13.88
Volume
$297.59
Positions
Yellow Submarine
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$0.67
Volume
$276.88
Positions
Yellow SubmarineZero Tenacity
CA7
CAcap
Event PnL
+$1.27
Volume
$253.97
Positions
Zero Tenacity
BL8
bladeform
Event PnL
-$1.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 6,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(5,850%),以及 Game 1 Winner(5,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $4.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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