Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

$69.7K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
機率趨勢
TEAM VISION 68.5%
Team Spirit 31.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 以壓倒性的 5,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 5,450% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,300% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $69.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,550%):Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $21 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持著 5,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,450¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,300%):以 5,300% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (5,250%)、Ends in Daytime (5,200%),以及 First Blood in Game 2? (4,850%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 1? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5550.0%$215550¢-5450¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5450.0%$215450¢-5350¢
3Ends in Daytime5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
4Ends in Daytime5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
5Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%$624850¢-4750¢
7First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%$624850¢-4750¢
8O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$2.6K4750¢-4650¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?4200.0%$24200¢-4100¢
11Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)3850.0%$3.4K3850¢-3750¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
14Game 1 Winner3650.0%$1.8K3650¢-3550¢
15Game 2 Winner3650.0%$1.1K3650¢-3550¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
20Match Winner3150.0%$60.6K3150¢-3050¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
23Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
24Any Player Rampage1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
25Any Player Rampage1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
26Any Player Rampage1850.0%1850¢-1750¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against TEAM VISION.

This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against Team Spirit.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:22 PM
    LMlmaolucky666
    $19.28

    Bought 58.424241 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:21 PM
    BEBE4GOD
    $238.00

    Bought 350 TEAM VISION for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.68

  • 09:20 PM
    SASantaClozzz
    $20.00

    Bought 60.606059 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:20 PM
    QUquavoo
    $3.30

    Bought 10 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:19 PM
    SASantaClozzz
    $15.00

    Bought 45.454544 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:16 PM
    JWjwocky
    $3.00

    Bought 8.1 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:15 PM
    VAvalociraptor
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303029 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:08 PM
    ALalpaca
    $500.00

    Bought 1041.666665 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 09:06 PM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 TEAM VISION for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.68

  • 09:05 PM
    NAnaesnny17
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:05 PM
    NAnaesnny17
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:04 PM
    0X0x1241a64335745de6Cf5826896497d917ECACF38f-1760186190115
    $24.00

    Bought 38.709676 Team Spirit for Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) at 0.62

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NF1
nftdoom
Event PnL
-$10.54
Volume
$18,616.41
Positions
TEAM VISION
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$17.48
Volume
$10,174.27
Positions
Team SpiritUnderTEAM VISION+2
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$30.60
Volume
$6,517.48
Positions
TEAM VISION
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
-$80.14
Volume
$4,948.00
Positions
Team SpiritOverTeam Spirit+1
BB5
0xbB00…9615
Event PnL
-$21.75
Volume
$4,350.00
Positions
Team Spirit
476
473game
Event PnL
+$48.03
Volume
$3,201.89
Positions
TEAM VISION
SI7
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$11.17
Volume
$2,999.99
Positions
Team Spirit
078
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$44.20
Volume
$2,993.79
Positions
Team Spirit

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 以 5,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(5,450%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,300%)。該市場總成交量已達 $69.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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