Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

$263.6K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
機率趨勢
PuckChamp 100.0%
Nemiga Gaming 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $263.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $136.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$136.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7549995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%50¢50¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
11Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
12Ends in Daytime50.0%$850¢50¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
15Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
16Game 2 Winner5.0%$151.1K95¢
17Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)5.0%$14395¢
18Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$3595¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and Nemiga Gaming in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against PuckChamp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:33 AM
    ECEC2Money
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.57

  • 09:33 AM
    LKLkszeta
    $10.00

    Bought 22.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:31 AM
    PCpcjones
    $44.19

    Sold 44.19 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 09:31 AM
    N3n3ono
    $5.00

    Bought 8.771927 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.57

  • 09:31 AM
    LELemou01
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:30 AM
    GEGeorgeRe
    $1,612.75

    Sold 1612.75 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 09:30 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $38.35

    Sold 69.73 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

  • 09:30 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $97.02

    Sold 220.49 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.44

  • 09:30 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:30 AM
    J7j7devgg
    $40.49

    Sold 73.62 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

  • 09:30 AM
    ALalpheclabs
    $794.33

    Sold 794.33 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 09:29 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $7.18

    Sold 13.05 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MA1
madoka123
Event PnL
+$4.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
PuckChamp
SU2
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$1,105.43
Volume
$6,810.03
Positions
PuckChamp
OR3
Orlandxx
Event PnL
+$3.99
Volume
$5,988.67
Positions
PuckChamp
984
0x98E1…6515
Event PnL
-$1,266.26
Volume
$5,059.42
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
MP5
mpoly
Event PnL
-$2,005.01
Volume
$5,000.11
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
F36
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$1,723.70
Volume
$4,732.67
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
KE7
Kev69
Event PnL
-$1,836.48
Volume
$4,725.09
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
SU8
suntori
Event PnL
+$2,267.82
Volume
$4,327.04
Positions
PuckChamp

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $263.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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