Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，First Blood in Game 2? 以壓倒性的 9,950% 獲勝機率主導市場；Ends in Daytime 以 50% 位居第二，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 50% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $919.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- First Blood in Game 2? (9,950%)：First Blood in Game 2? 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,950¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Ends in Daytime (50%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Ends in Daytime 保持著 50% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 50¢。
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (50%)：以 50% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (50%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (50%)，以及 Any Player Rampage (50%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 10 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $402.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Nigma Galaxy and OG, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 2, 2026
- 07:20 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 07:20 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 07:10 AMSASashiusun$2.75
Bought 5 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 07:05 AMHAHavanaClub$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 06:36 AMBAbarbabets$37.29
Bought 81.07 Nigma Galaxy for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.46
- 06:35 AMDOdoglover4571$4.48
Bought 8 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 06:20 AMGOgotthebeer$6.06
Bought 11.01818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 06:08 AMGOgotthebeer$4.99
Bought 9.072726 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 05:53 AMRIRisky-One$10.00
Bought 17.85714 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 05:49 AMNEnewUser2025$4.50
Bought 10 Nigma Galaxy for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.45
- 05:27 AMZEzerozaky$168.00
Bought 300 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 05:21 AMGOgotthebeer$3.15
Bought 5.625 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,950% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Ends in Daytime（50%），以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan（50%）。該市場總成交量已達 $919.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。