Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

$546.5K Vol
2026年8月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Rune Eaters 100.0%
MOUZ 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ends in Daytime 以 9,000% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $546.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $772 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ends in Daytime (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ends in Daytime 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,800%):以 5,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7729995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Ends in Daytime5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
8Match Winner1100.0%$251.8K1100¢-1000¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
12Game 2 Winner5.0%$320.7K95¢
13Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)5.0%$14195¢
14Any Player Rampage5.0%$1.9K95¢
15Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)5.0%$1595¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Rune Eaters.

This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win the match against MOUZ.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:29 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:29 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:28 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:28 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:28 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:27 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:27 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:26 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:26 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $48.00

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:26 AM
    HOhollyjackson
    $9.60

    Bought 10 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:23 AM
    EWeweeew
    $9.60

    Bought 10 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.96

  • 08:20 AM
    DEdeebb
    $47.50

    Bought 50 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.95

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WE1
Weaseloftheweek
Event PnL
-$65,589.89
Volume
$99,999.54
Positions
MOUZ
DO2
Dota2winner
Event PnL
-$29,861.82
Volume
$69,408.88
Positions
Rune EatersMOUZMOUZ
PA3
papuas
Event PnL
-$8,761.35
Volume
$41,700.64
Positions
Rune EatersMOUZRune Eaters
LU4
LuckyWin
Event PnL
+$18.03
Volume
$35,861.00
Positions
Rune Eaters
IM5
IMAREALPERSON
Event PnL
+$19,726.38
Volume
$33,683.62
Positions
MOUZRune Eaters
GR6
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
+$8,693.32
Volume
$22,394.92
Positions
Rune EatersRune Eaters
AN7
Anjun
Event PnL
+$14,655.41
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Rune Eaters
F38
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$9,700.93
Volume
$18,909.42
Positions
MOUZMOUZ

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ends in Daytime(9,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $546.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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