Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

$521.2K Vol
2026年8月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Level UP 100.0%
Rune Eaters 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $521.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $209.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%)、Match Winner (7,465%),以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$209.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5479995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Match Winner7465.0%$169.4K7465¢-7365¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%$6.3K5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
13Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)5.0%$14895¢
14Any Player Rampage5.0%$6.3K95¢
15Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)5.0%$12295¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Level UP and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win the match against Rune Eaters.

This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win the match against Level UP.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 12, 2026

  • 08:48 AM
    KUKUADOM
    $0.96

    Bought 1.68 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:48 AM
    POPodev-sport
    $10.44

    Bought 18.315788 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:48 AM
    RErerersa
    $9.50

    Bought 10 No for Game 1: Any Player Rampage? at 0.95

  • 08:40 AM
    RErerersa
    $9.50

    Bought 10 No for Game 2: Any Player Rampage? at 0.95

  • 08:32 AM
    JUjustinadami
    $9.50

    Bought 10 No for Game 2: Any Player Rampage? at 0.95

  • 08:20 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $7.77

    Sold 18.07 Level UP for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.43

  • 08:20 AM
    868668320355
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:18 AM
    GEgebilaowang888888
    $24.66

    Bought 43.263155 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:18 AM
    GEgebilaowang888888
    $16.99

    Bought 30.890908 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 08:18 AM
    YOyomo578
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.53

  • 08:17 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:17 AM
    QUquintoquinto
    $1.21

    Bought 2.2 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

DO1
Dota2winner
Event PnL
-$2,390.14
Volume
$50,008.88
Positions
Level UPLevel UP
CA2
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$2,956.20
Volume
$18,049.65
Positions
Rune EatersRune Eaters
HF3
hff.
Event PnL
+$6,941.50
Volume
$17,758.74
Positions
Rune EatersLevel UP
3B4
0x3b63…5269
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Level UP
PR5
PROBABILITYTRADER
Event PnL
-$7,398.20
Volume
$14,359.56
Positions
Rune EatersLevel UP
BA6
bajacaligold
Event PnL
+$7.06
Volume
$14,129.15
Positions
Rune Eaters
SK7
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$756.21
Volume
$12,366.24
Positions
Rune EatersRune Eaters
RI8
ribalka
Event PnL
+$990.57
Volume
$12,224.87
Positions
Level UPLevel UP

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $521.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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