
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Ends in Daytime 以壓倒性的 5,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 5,250% 位居第二,Any Player Rampage 以 5,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $165.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Ends in Daytime (5,250%):Ends in Daytime 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持著 5,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,250¢。
- Any Player Rampage (5,250%):以 5,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Rampage 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Game 1 Winner (5,050%)、Game 2 Winner (5,050%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (4,850%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Rampage | 5250.0% | $30 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 5050.0% | $165.6K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 5050.0% | $4.8K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Rampage | 4650.0% | $30 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between LGD Gaming and GamerLegion, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 31, 2026
- 08:08 AMQAqazxcdews$8.94
Bought 13.55 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.66
- 08:08 AMWEwewer$9.30
Bought 10 No for Game 2: Any Player Rampage? at 0.93
- 08:03 AMHAhanbinlala$34.30
Bought 98 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35
- 08:02 AMHAhanbinlala$105.00
Bought 300 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35
- 08:02 AMNOno1dodgersfan$2.57
Bought 3.95 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65
- 08:02 AMNOno1dodgersfan$16.90
Bought 26 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65
- 08:02 AMNOno1dodgersfan$17.55
Bought 27 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65
- 08:02 AMHAhanbinlala$155.07
Bought 443.05 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35
- 08:02 AMHAhanbinlala$70.00
Bought 200 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35
- 08:01 AMHAhanbinlala$35.00
Bought 100 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35
- 08:01 AM——$2.76
Bought 4.1194 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.67
- 08:01 AMHAhanbinlala$34.00
Bought 100 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.34
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Ends in Daytime 以 5,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan(5,250%),以及 Any Player Rampage(5,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $165.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
