Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

$269.7K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
機率趨勢
PuckChamp 100.0%
FTS 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,950% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $269.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5) (9,995%):Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5)9995.0%$2.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
12Any Player Rampage1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
14Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
15Game 2 Winner5.0%$95.3K95¢
16Match Winner5.0%$29.0K95¢
17O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$46695¢
18Game Handicap: FTS (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between FTS and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "FTS" if FTS win the match against PuckChamp.

This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against FTS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:34 AM
    GEgebilaowang888888
    $9.43

    Bought 20.955554 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner at 0.45

  • 09:34 AM
    GEgebilaowang888888
    $9.43

    Bought 20.955554 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner at 0.45

  • 09:27 AM
    BIbingbard
    $52.50

    Sold 124.99 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.42

  • 09:26 AM
    PUpupalupaza
    $146.51

    Bought 340.71 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.43

  • 09:26 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 11.9 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.42

  • 09:26 AM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $19.89

    Bought 47.35 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.42

  • 09:24 AM
    AAaannikk
    $123.00

    Bought 300 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.41

  • 09:24 AM
    BIbingbard
    $51.25

    Bought 125 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.41

  • 09:22 AM
    ARarcher111
    $1.00

    Bought 2.43 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.41

  • 09:22 AM
    GIGIOCH14
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 PuckChamp for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.6

  • 09:22 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $2.05

    Bought 5 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.41

  • 09:18 AM
    0X0xa3b098106A36cAA08dc8e3102B90D979EbD847d4-1756902352225
    $4.00

    Bought 9.756096 FTS for Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.41

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SU1
suntori
Event PnL
-$185.71
Volume
$10,226.67
Positions
PuckChampPuckChamp
SK2
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
+$113.85
Volume
$5,692.72
Positions
FTS
BO3
BOJlWE6CTBO
Event PnL
+$16.81
Volume
$4,623.70
Positions
FTSFTS
PE4
pepegagiga
Event PnL
-$205.82
Volume
$3,890.38
Positions
PuckChamp
CA5
canoflanagan
Event PnL
+$185.49
Volume
$3,709.88
Positions
FTS
RA6
randomniynickname
Event PnL
-$126.03
Volume
$3,193.51
Positions
PuckChamp
HF7
hff.
Event PnL
-$329.63
Volume
$3,059.16
Positions
PuckChamp
LM8
lmtscapt
Event PnL
+$1.71
Volume
$2,106.75
Positions
FTSFTS

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,950%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $269.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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