Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets

$1.2M Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Falcons 100.0%
1win 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.2M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $718.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime (1,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$718.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%$1109000¢-8900¢
4First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%$559000¢-8900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%$1109000¢-8900¢
6Ends in Daytime1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%$1101000¢-900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%$1101000¢-900¢
9Any Player Rampage1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢

裁決規則

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Team Falcons and 1win, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 2, 2026

  • 02:03 AM
    YUyuanbaodemama
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 12:56 AM
    NAnaesnny17
    $4.98

    Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.38

  • 12:56 AM
    NAnaesnny17
    $4.98

    Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.38

Aug 1, 2026

  • 09:22 PM
    DNDniwe1
    $41.58

    Bought 63 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

E11
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CO2
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CC3
cc9999
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+$32.06
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Team Falcons
JU4
junifund1
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-$16,039.64
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$42,199.74
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1win1win
CA5
canoflanagan
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+$21,841.95
Volume
$38,606.80
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FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$11,904.09
Volume
$28,641.97
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GX7
gxxyy
Event PnL
-$20,311.79
Volume
$27,018.55
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1win
DA8
daidaihaofei
Event PnL
-$237.50
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
1win

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,950%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.2M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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