Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

$77.2K Vol
2026年7月25日
Active
機率趨勢
FURIA 83.5%
Sharks 16.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 6,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) 以 6,450% 位居第二,Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $77.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (6,500%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $809 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) (6,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) 保持著 6,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,450¢。
  • Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) (5,450%)、Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) (5,400%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,550%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games6500.0%$8096500¢-6400¢
2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)6450.0%$1.5K6450¢-6350¢
3Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)5550.0%$22.0K5550¢-5450¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)5450.0%$1655450¢-5350¢
5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54350.0%$2784350¢-4250¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54150.0%$44150¢-4050¢
9Map 1 Winner3150.0%$2583150¢-3050¢
10Map 2 Winner1950.0%$3121950¢-1850¢
11Match Winner1650.0%$51.8K1650¢-1550¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Sharks and FURIA in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against FURIA.

This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Sharks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 24, 2026

  • 07:52 AM
    MAmayunyun
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727271 Sharks for Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:16 AM
    ASAsher.Dong
    $30.00

    Bought 68.181817 Sharks for Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:15 AM
    ANanon9876hima
    $5.00

    Bought 5.95 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.84

  • 07:15 AM
    STStackB
    $299.54

    Bought 1762 Sharks for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.17

  • 07:13 AM
    KHKhan008
    $2.64

    Bought 6 Sharks for Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:13 AM
    L0l0wkirkenuinely
    $1,144.00

    Bought 2600 Sharks for Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:01 AM
    0X0x71a5B65336Ef41585ccE33e49073742bE8C1B594-1768086299400
    $190.00

    Sold 500 Sharks for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) at 0.38

  • 06:42 AM
    BEBellan
    $427.50

    Bought 750 FURIA for Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 06:42 AM
    BEBellan
    $300.00

    Bought 500 FURIA for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) at 0.6

  • 06:30 AM
    GLGlimz
    $100.00

    Bought 119.047618 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.84

  • 06:23 AM
    JEJekach
    $1.70

    Bought 10 Sharks for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.17

  • 06:09 AM
    INIndDia
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263156 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.38

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

DU1
DumplingBMF
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Sharks
GL2
Gladiator02
Event PnL
-$36.75
Volume
$7,350.00
Positions
FURIA
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$64.50
Volume
$7,319.15
Positions
SharksSharks
LI4
ling..b
Event PnL
-$35.39
Volume
$5,755.18
Positions
FURIA
IT5
itsallupnow
Event PnL
+$71.10
Volume
$4,739.75
Positions
FURIA
NE6
neverknows
Event PnL
+$9.77
Volume
$4,586.60
Positions
Sharks
F57
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$68.18
Volume
$4,545.45
Positions
Sharks
ZE8
Zelenskys-suit
Event PnL
-$21.00
Volume
$4,200.00
Positions
FURIA

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 6,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)(6,450%),以及 Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $77.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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